New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Sportsgrid-Staff

Mets @ Reds – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.
When it comes to betting on this game, there are a few key factors to consider. Firstly, Justin Verlander’s performance in his first game of the season is not an accurate reflection of his potential. He’s a seasoned pitcher with a proven track record, and it’s not unusual for a player to have a rough start after a long absence.
On the other side, Hunter Greene has been impressive early on, particularly against left-handed batters. However, his .393 wOBA (Weighted On-Base Average) against right-handed batters suggests that he could struggle against a Mets lineup that features some potent right-handed hitters. Also, Greene’s xFIP (Expected Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.21 suggests that he might be due for some regression.
The Great American Ballpark, known for its hitter-friendly confines, and the warmer weather conditions will likely favor offensive output. Therefore, the over seems like a solid bet, given both teams’ offensive potential and the pitching match-up. However, if you’re confident that Verlander can bounce back, the Mets at -154 could offer value.
In terms of player props, consider taking a look at the Mets’ right-handed hitters against Greene. Pete Alonso, for example, has a career wOBA of .371 against right-handed pitchers and could be a worthwhile bet for an anytime home run.
Ultimately, this game could come down to which team can capitalize on their opportunities. The Mets desperately need a strong start from Verlander, but the Reds have a young flamethrower in Greene who could throw a wrench in their plans. Either way, this matchup promises to be an exciting one for both baseball and betting enthusiasts.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | -1.5 | -109 | O 9 | -103 | -173 | Open |
+103 | 9 | -115 | -154 | Current | ||
Reds | +1.5 | -111 | U 9 | -117 | +147 | Open |
-123 | 9 | -105 | +132 | Current |
Projected Lineups:
Mets
Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander: 0-1, 3.60 ERA, 9.00 K/9
1. | CF | Brandon Nimmo | .300, 3 HR, 14 RBI |
2. | SS | Francisco Lindor | .224, 6 HR, 27 RBI |
3. | LF | Jeff McNeil | .280, 2 HR, 12 RBI |
4. | 1B | Pete Alonso | .237, 12 HR, 30 RBI |
5. | 3B | Brett Baty | .271, 2 HR, 6 RBI |
6. | RF | Starling Marte | .223, 1 HR, 8 RBI |
7. | DH | Daniel Vogelbach | .257, 2 HR, 13 RBI |
8. | 2B | Luis Guillorme | .231, 0 HR, 3 RBI |
9. | C | Francisco Alvarez | .241, 3 HR, 6 RBI |
Reds
Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene: 0-2, 3.74 ERA, 12.56 K/9
1. | 2B | Jonathan India | .307, 3 HR, 17 RBI |
2. | CF | TJ Friedl | .325, 3 HR, 18 RBI |
3. | 1B | Spencer Steer | .252, 4 HR, 12 RBI |
4. | LF | Jake Fraley | .236, 2 HR, 18 RBI |
5. | C | Tyler Stephenson | .254, 1 HR, 13 RBI |
6. | 3B | Nick Senzel | .268, 3 HR, 14 RBI |
7. | RF | Wil Myers | .215, 3 HR, 10 RBI |
8. | DH | Henry Ramos | .250, 0 HR, 3 RBI |
9. | SS | Jose Barrero | .226, 1 HR, 11 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Mets
- The New York Mets are 0-5 (.000) on the road as a favorite in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the New York Mets last 5 games on the road in 2023
Reds
- The Cincinnati Reds are 4-1 (.800) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
- The over hit in 3 of the Cincinnati Reds last 5 games at home in 2023
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