New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

When it comes to betting on this game, there are a few key factors to consider. Firstly, Justin Verlander’s performance in his first game of the season is not an accurate reflection of his potential. He’s a seasoned pitcher with a proven track record, and it’s not unusual for a player to have a rough start after a long absence. 

On the other side, Hunter Greene has been impressive early on, particularly against left-handed batters. However, his .393 wOBA (Weighted On-Base Average) against right-handed batters suggests that he could struggle against a Mets lineup that features some potent right-handed hitters. Also, Greene’s xFIP (Expected Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.21 suggests that he might be due for some regression.

The Great American Ballpark, known for its hitter-friendly confines, and the warmer weather conditions will likely favor offensive output. Therefore, the over seems like a solid bet, given both teams’ offensive potential and the pitching match-up. However, if you’re confident that Verlander can bounce back, the Mets at -154 could offer value.

In terms of player props, consider taking a look at the Mets’ right-handed hitters against Greene. Pete Alonso, for example, has a career wOBA of .371 against right-handed pitchers and could be a worthwhile bet for an anytime home run.

Ultimately, this game could come down to which team can capitalize on their opportunities. The Mets desperately need a strong start from Verlander, but the Reds have a young flamethrower in Greene who could throw a wrench in their plans. Either way, this matchup promises to be an exciting one for both baseball and betting enthusiasts.