2025 PGA Championship Trends: Scheffler, McIlroy and Thomas Popular Plays
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
As the PGA Championship approaches, betting action at BetMGM reveals some sharp movement, public favorites, and major liabilities shaping the odds board. With elite names like Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and Bryson DeChambeau in the mix, the market is heating up in a big way. Here’s a look at where the money is going, which players have seen the most dramatic odds movement, and what it means for this year’s second major.
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PGA Championship Winner
Line Movement (opening, current)
- Rory McIlroy +900, +500
- Bryson DeChambeau +2200, +850
- Justin Thomas +4000, +1800
Several stars have seen significant line shifts as momentum builds ahead of the PGA Championship. Rory McIlroy, who opened at +900, has surged to +500 after a red-hot season that includes three wins, a No. 2 world ranking, and two previous PGA Championship titles. Bryson DeChambeau has been another big mover, shortening from +2200 to +850 following a strong start on the LIV Tour and his runner-up finish at last year’s PGA Championship. Justin Thomas has climbed from +4000 to +1800, backed by six top-10 finishes and a win at the RBC Heritage in 2025.
Highest Ticket%
- Scottie Scheffler 14.9%
- Rory McIlroy 13.0%
- Bryson DeChambeau 12.6%
The public is showing clear preferences heading into the weekend. Scottie Scheffler, the current World No. 1, leads the way with 14.9% of all bets. He’s followed closely by McIlroy (13.0%) and DeChambeau (12.6%). All three bring elite major résumés and momentum: Scheffler is fresh off a win at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson and has four top-10 finishes at the PGA Championship, while McIlroy and DeChambeau each boast multiple top-10s and strong course fit.
Highest Handle%
- Scottie Scheffler 20.7%
- Rory McIlroy 17.6%
- Bryson DeChambeau 15.4%
When it comes to actual dollars wagered, bettors are leaning even harder into the favorites. Scheffler tops the handle board with 20.7%, reflecting serious confidence in the world’s top-ranked player. McIlroy follows with 17.6%, and DeChambeau holds third at 15.4%. Their recent form and major success histories have clearly convinced big-money bettors to back them heavily.
Biggest Liabilities
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Scottie Scheffler
- Rory McIlroy
From a sportsbook perspective, Bryson DeChambeau, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy represent the biggest financial liabilities. BetMGM could be on the hook for a hefty payout if any of the three win. DeChambeau, in particular, is a risk due to his long opening odds and sudden surge in handle as a trendy pick after his strong major performances and second-place status on the LIV Golf season standings.
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