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Juan Soto's Struggle with the Mets: Odds of a Comeback

<h1 data-start="180" data-end="258">Juan Soto&#8217;s New York Mets Debut: Sluggish Start or Setup for a Second-Half Surge?</h1>
When the New York Mets acquired Soto, expectations were sky-high. A top-five fantasy pick. A lefty superstar tailor-made for the Big Apple. A bat that could thrive in any ballpark. But with the season nearly halfway through, Soto’s tenure in Queens has been defined by underwhelming production, whispers of discontent, and the looming question — is a second-half breakout coming?
<hr data-start="658" data-end="661" />
<h2 data-start="663" data-end="723">The Reality So Far: Soto’s Numbers Are Not MVP-Worthy</h2>
Let’s start with the facts. Through early June, Soto’s numbers are, at best, solid — not elite.
<ul data-start="827" data-end="925">
<li data-start="827" data-end="844">
AVG: .258
</li>
<li data-start="845" data-end="862">
OBP: .368
</li>
<li data-start="863" data-end="880">
SLG: .442
</li>
<li data-start="881" data-end="894">
HR: 8
</li>
<li data-start="895" data-end="910">
RBI: 29
</li>
<li data-start="911" data-end="925">
WAR: 1.3
</li>
</ul>
That’s a far cry from the 41-homer, 100-RBI monster he was projected to be when he crossed the East River from the Bronx to Citi Field. His bat speed metrics have dipped slightly, and while he’s still walking at an elite rate, the slugging just isn’t there.
<hr data-start="1198" data-end="1201" />
<h2 data-start="1203" data-end="1233">What’s Wrong with Soto?</h2>
Some of the theories floating around:
<ul data-start="1274" data-end="1685">
<li data-start="1274" data-end="1352">
Citi Field&#8217;s dimensions stifle power numbers compared to Yankee Stadium.
</li>
<li data-start="1353" data-end="1452">
Lineup protection isn&#8217;t the issue: Pete Alonso is raking, and Francisco Lindor is heating up.
</li>
<li data-start="1453" data-end="1572">
Change of scenery: For all of Soto’s polish, he’s still just 26, and this is now his third team in three seasons.
</li>
<li data-start="1573" data-end="1685">
Intangibles: Reports that he “wished he was still a Yankee” remain unconfirmed but hang in the background.
</li>
</ul>
Still, there&#8217;s no evidence that Soto is hurt or in long-term decline — more likely, he&#8217;s adjusting. And if you&#8217;re a fantasy manager or a bettor looking to get ahead of the curve? Now might be the moment to buy low.
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<h2 data-start="1912" data-end="1965">Betting Market Reaction: Soto Props in Retreat</h2>
Books have quietly lowered Soto’s odds in prop and futures markets:
<ul data-start="2040" data-end="2281">
<li data-start="2040" data-end="2096">
NL MVP: Opened at +1200, now drifting to +5000
</li>
<li data-start="2097" data-end="2127">
Home Run Title: Unlisted
</li>
<li data-start="2128" data-end="2210">
Total Bases props: Consistently available around 1.5 at +110 to +130
</li>
<li data-start="2211" data-end="2281">
Home Run props: Climbing into +500 to +600 range in matchups
</li>
</ul>
That’s a massive drop for a player once considered a daily prop-line anchor.
<h3 data-start="2361" data-end="2377">Betting Tip:</h3>
Soto’s value is now in contrarian spots — games where he’s +140 or better for 2+ hits, or +180 for Over 1.5 Total Bases. If you believe in a second-half surge, betting Soto now is buying low.
<hr data-start="2579" data-end="2582" />
<h2 data-start="2584" data-end="2635">Fantasy Perspective: Time to Trade for Soto?</h2>
Yes — if the price is right.
No one is paying first-round value anymore, and for good reason. But if you can acquire Soto at 80 cents on the dollar, this could be one of those season-saving trades if he hits 15–18 homers in the second half, which is well within reach.
<ul data-start="2920" data-end="3093">
<li data-start="2920" data-end="2990">
Expected 2025 final line: .270 AVG / 24 HR / 85 RBI / .370 OBP
</li>
<li data-start="2991" data-end="3023">
Still elite plate discipline
</li>
<li data-start="3024" data-end="3051">
Still playing every day
</li>
<li data-start="3052" data-end="3093">
Still hitting in the heart of the order
</li>
</ul>
<hr data-start="3095" data-end="3098" />
<h2 data-start="3100" data-end="3155">Second-Half Prediction: The Soto Surge Is Coming</h2>
The skills haven’t disappeared. In fact, advanced metrics suggest his hard-hit rate and barrel percentage are climbing, and summer conditions will only help. The Mets are desperate for offense, and Soto still has something to prove — whether it’s for a contract, a legacy, or just pride.
<h3 data-start="3450" data-end="3463">Forecast:</h3>
<ul data-start="3464" data-end="3625">
<li data-start="3464" data-end="3511">
June–September: .285 AVG, 17 HR, 52 RBI
</li>
<li data-start="3512" data-end="3545">
Fantasy Finish: Top-25 OF
</li>
<li data-start="3546" data-end="3625">
Prop Value: Look to exploit weak matchups vs. RHP, especially on the road
</li>
</ul>
<hr data-start="4113" data-end="4116" />
<h2 data-start="4118" data-end="4184">Final Word: Soto&#8217;s Story Isn’t Finished — It&#8217;s Just Delayed</h2>
No, Soto hasn’t been the MVP-level hammer Mets fans dreamed of. But there’s zero reason to abandon ship. A hitter with his eye, his pedigree, and his talent is always just a week away from a hot streak that rewrites the season.
And if you’re in fantasy or betting markets? Buy the dip. This story still has legs.
You can read all about what&#8217;s going on in Major League Baseball at <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nfl" target='_blank' rel="noopener">SportsGrid.com</a>.
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Juan Soto’s Struggle with the New York Mets: Odds of a Comeback

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Juan Soto may have signed the richest contract in MLB history during the winter with the New York Mets but it hasn't stopped home from struggling this season.

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