Rockets vs. Heat Game Preview: Live NBA Prediction, Odds & Picks

🟢Last updated Feb 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM EST•Next update in: 9 minutes from now

Rockets vs. Heat preview (Feb 28). Updated every 15 minutes with Kalshi odds (Rockets -3.5), Kevin Durant props & Jabari Smith Jr.'s status (Out - Ankle).

Today's Data Snapshot

Today's Data Snapshot
Market Source:	Kalshi Live Odds
Primary Prediction:	Heat +3.5, Heat +127
Key Pick:	Kevin Durant Over 24.5 Points
Injury Impact:	Jabari Smith Jr. (Out - Ankle)
Data Freshness:	5m ago (11:08 AM EST)

Houston Rockets

37-21

Feb 283:30 PM

Amazon Prime Video

Miami Heat

31-29

Miami Heat

31-29

GAME PREDICTIONS

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

PREDICTED GAME OUTCOME

Rockets win by

1.0 Pts

CHANCE TO WIN

52%

48%

Model Picks

Heat

Heat +3.5

Heat

Heat +127

Insights provided by the SportsGrid betting model

LATEST INJURY STATUS

Rockets INJURIES

Jabari Smith Jr.

Out

The Rockets listed Smith Jr. as OUT for Saturday's (Feb. 28) game against the Heat.

Steven Adams

Out For Season

The Rockets said on Wednesday (Jan. 28) that Adams underwent season-ending ankle surgery.

Jae'Sean Tate

Out

The Rockets reported on Monday (Feb. 23) that Tate will miss at least 2 weeks.

Fred VanVleet

Out For Season

The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.

Heat INJURIES

Norman Powell

Out

Powell is week-to-week with a right groin strain, per Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald.

Nikola Jović

Out

The Heat listed Jovic as Out for Saturday's (Feb. 28) game against the Rockets.

LATEST PLAYER PROPS

View all

LATEST PLAYER PROPS

View all

HOU

MIA

Feb 28 ·3:30 PM

Kevin Durant

Points

Yes 24.5

HOU

MIA

Feb 28 ·3:30 PM

Reed Sheppard

Points

Yes 14.5

HOU

MIA

Feb 28 ·3:30 PM

Kevin Durant

Assists

Yes 3.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the latest odds and spread for Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat?

The Houston Rockets are favored by 3.5 points (-3.5), while the Miami Heat are underdogs +3.5 points. The moneyline is Houston Rockets -144 and Miami Heat +127. The total is set at 225.5 points.

Who is projected to win Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat, and what are the win probabilities?

The model projects the Houston Rockets to win by 1.0 points. Win probability is 52% for the Houston Rockets and 48% for the Miami Heat.

What is the injury report for the Houston Rockets and Miami Heat?

The latest injury report shows Jabari Smith Jr. (Out – ankle), Steven Adams (Out For Season – ankle), Jae'Sean Tate (Out – knee), Fred VanVleet (Out For Season – acl) for the Houston Rockets, while Norman Powell (Out – groin), Nikola Jović (Out – back) are listed for the Miami Heat.

What are the best bets for Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat (spread, moneyline, total)

The SportsGrid model's top game pick is Heat +3.5. The projected margin supports this pick.

What are the top player prop picks for Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat?

Top player props include Kevin Durant Over 24.5 Points, Reed Sheppard Over 14.5 Points, Kevin Durant Over 3.5 Assists. These are highlighted as strong value plays by the SportsGrid model.