NCAAB · 9 months ago

2025 NCAA Tournament Projections for 12 Deserving SEC Teams

John Canady

Host · Writer

14) Texas Longhorns Projection: First Four Out of the NCAA Tournament
Record: 17-13 (6-11)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 40 | KenPom: 44
Evan Miya Rank: 56 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 51

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 5-9 | Quad 2: 3-4 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 7-0

Like Oklahoma, Texas will find themselves on the outside looking in following poor conference play over the course of the season.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +30000 | Final Four: +8500
1) Auburn Tigers Projection: No. 1 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 27-3 (15-2)
AP Poll: 1 | Coaches Poll: 1
NET Ranking: 2 | KenPom: 2
Evan Miya Rank: 1 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 3

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 15-3 | Quad 2: 6-0 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 4-0

Auburn has showcased all season long that they're a genuine threat to win the National Championship. Their success throughout the year will be reflected in the NCAA tournament seeding.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +340 | Final Four: -155

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2) Tennessee Volunteers Projection: No. 1 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 24-6 (11-6)
AP Poll: 4 | Coaches Poll: 4
NET Ranking: 5 | KenPom: 5
Evan Miya Rank: 6 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 6

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 9-6 | Quad 2: 5-0 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 6-0

The Tennessee Volunteers haven't been the most talked about team in the SEC, but they have the talent and discipline to make a deep run when the tournament begins.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +1500 | Final Four: +300
3) Alabama Crimson Tide Projection: No. 2 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 23-7 (12-4)
AP Poll: 7 | Coaches Poll: 8
NET Ranking: 6 | KenPom: 6
Evan Miya Rank: 3 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 5

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 9-7 | Quad 2: 8-0 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 2-0

Alabama has gone toe-to-toe with the best teams in the nation, and while they haven't won every game, they've proven they can contend for a championship.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +1500 | Final Four: +280
4) Florida Gators Projection: No. 2 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 26-4 (13-4)
AP Poll: 5 | Coaches Poll: 5
NET Ranking: 4 | KenPom: 4
Evan Miya Rank: 4 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 4

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 7-4 | Quad 2: 9-0 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 6-0

Florida may be one of the most overlooked teams coming from the SEC conference. The Gators have quietly been one of the top teams in the nation this year, and they'll be a hard out for any squad.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +750 | Final Four: +140
5) Kentucky Wildcats Projection: No. 3 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 20-10 (9-8)
AP Poll: 19 | Coaches Poll: 24
NET Ranking: 13 | KenPom: 16
Evan Miya Rank: 16 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 18

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 9-9 | Quad 2: 1-1 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 6-0

Kentucky will be hard to judge entering the tournament. The Wildcats have knocked off some of the top teams in the league in Duke, Tennessee and Gonzaga, but they've also lost games they should easily win.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +5000 | Final Four: +1200
6) Texas A&M Aggies Projection: No. 4 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 21-9 (10-7)
AP Poll: 22 | Coaches Poll: 21
NET Ranking: 20 | KenPom: 20
Evan Miya Rank: 10 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 24

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 7-7 | Quad 2: 8-2 | Quad 3: 1-0 | Quad 4: 5-0

Texas A&M could be a sleeper come tourney time. Considering how well-coached their squad is and the returning players who have experience in the tournament, don't overlook the Aggies.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +4000 | Final Four: +900
7) Missouri Tigers Projection: No. 5 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 21-9 (10-7)
AP Poll: 15 | Coaches Poll: 19
NET Ranking: 16 | KenPom: 15
Evan Miya Rank: 29 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 12

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 6-9 | Quad 2: 3-0 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 8-0

Missouri has dealt with some inconsistencies over the last few weeks, but Missouri seems to be finding its groove ahead of the tournament. Despite the struggles, they won't be an easy team to defeat come tourney time.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +6500 | Final Four: +1300
8) Mississippi State Bulldogs Projection: No. 7 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 20-10 (8-9)
AP Poll: 25 | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 33 | KenPom: 32
Evan Miya Rank: 27 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 33

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 7-8 | Quad 2: 5-2 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 6-0

Mississippi State is a slept-on competitor from the SEC. The Bulldogs haven't shown enough to make them a favorite when the tournament comes, but they won't be an opponent to overlook.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +15000 | Final Four: +3800
9) Ole Miss Rebels Projection: No. 8 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 21-9 (10-7)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 27 | KenPom: 25
Evan Miya Rank: 17 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 29

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 6-8 | Quad 2: 6-1 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 7-0

Ole Miss is finding their groove at the right time and they seem to have done enough to get a bid into the dance.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +8000 | Final Four: +2000
10) Vanderbilt Commodores Projection: No. 9 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 20-10 (8-9)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 43 | KenPom: 43
Evan Miya Rank: 34 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 37

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 5-7 | Quad 2: 4-3 | Quad 3: 3-0 | Quad 4: 8-0

Vanderbilt has pulled out a couple of impressive wins this season, and they seem lined up for a chance at a Cinderella run themselves.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +15000 | Final Four: +3600
11) Georgia Bulldogs Projection: No. 11 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 19-11 (7-10)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 32 | KenPom: 33
Evan Miya Rank: 35 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 30

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 4-10 | Quad 2: 4-1 | Quad 3: 3-0 | Quad 4: 8-0

Georgia has managed to keep themselves in the mix and they seem like they may get the chance to show why they deserved a spot in the tournament after all.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +25000 | Final Four: +7000
12) Arkansas Razorbacks Projection: No. 11 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 18-12 (7-10)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 39 | KenPom: 39
Evan Miya Rank: 47 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 47

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 5-9 | Quad 2: 2-3 | Quad 3: 4-0 | Quad 4: 7-0

Arkansas has struggled at times this season in the first year of the John Calipari era, but they've done enough to get an invite to the NCAA tournament.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +25000 | Final Four: +7000
13) Oklahoma Sooners Projection: First Four Out of the NCAA Tournament
Record: 18-12 (5-12)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 50 | KenPom: 41
Evan Miya Rank: 46 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 52

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 5-10 | Quad 2: 4-1 | Quad 3: 2-1 | Quad 4: 7-0

Oklahoma's struggles this season to compete against SEC competition seemingly will come back to bite them as they fall in the first four out category.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +30000 | Final Four: +8000
14) Texas Longhorns Projection: First Four Out of the NCAA Tournament
Record: 17-13 (6-11)
AP Poll: NR | Coaches Poll: NR
NET Ranking: 40 | KenPom: 44
Evan Miya Rank: 56 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 51

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 5-9 | Quad 2: 3-4 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 7-0

Like Oklahoma, Texas will find themselves on the outside looking in following poor conference play over the course of the season.

BETTING ODDS

National Champion: +30000 | Final Four: +8500
1) Auburn Tigers Projection: No. 1 Seed in the NCAA Tournament
Record: 27-3 (15-2)
AP Poll: 1 | Coaches Poll: 1
NET Ranking: 2 | KenPom: 2
Evan Miya Rank: 1 | Bart Torvik T-Rank: 3

WINS BY QUAD
Quad 1: 15-3 | Quad 2: 6-0 | Quad 3: 2-0 | Quad 4: 4-0

Auburn has showcased all season long that they're a genuine threat to win the National Championship. Their success throughout the year will be reflected in the NCAA tournament seeding.

BETTING ODDS
National Champion: +340 | Final Four: -155

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2025 NCAA Tournament Projections for 12 Deserving SEC Teams

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