2024 NFL QB Rankings: Key Players, Betting & Draft Insights

As we approach the 2024 NFL season, the quarterback (QB) position continues to be a focal point for both fantasy football managers and sports bettors. With expert consensus rankings available, it’s essential to analyze and poke holes in these rankings to uncover potential value and risks. Let’s dive into the top QB rankings, explore strategic drafting tips, and discuss key betting insights that could give you an edge this season.

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Poking Holes in the Consensus: Is Josh Allen Really QB1?

The consensus rankings place Josh Allen at the top, largely due to his rushing equity and the impressive 15 rushing touchdowns he scored last year. However, there are concerns about his supporting cast and the pressure to do even more with potentially less. While Allen’s ability to rack up fantasy points through both the air and ground is undeniable, it’s worth questioning whether he’s truly the best QB option.

Consider betting on Patrick Mahomes to lead the NFL in passing yards. With his consistent production and ability to stay healthy, Mahomes offers a safer and more stable option compared to Allen, who may face more challenges this season.

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The Flare Gun Effect: When to Target Your QB

In most drafts, the first QB off the board is often Josh Allen, followed closely by Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. This triggers what is known as the “flare gun” effect, where once one QB is taken, others quickly follow. If you want to secure Mahomes, be prepared to act quickly when Allen is drafted.

Jalen Hurts is an intriguing bet to lead all QBs in rushing touchdowns. His role in the Philadelphia Eagles’ offense, combined with his rushing ability, makes him a strong candidate for this achievement.

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The Safe Bets: Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson

Patrick Mahomes remains a top choice due to his consistent performance and ability to deliver both through the air and on the ground. If you miss out on Allen, Mahomes offers a similar ceiling with less risk. Lamar Jackson is another solid option, especially with his rushing upside and two MVP awards under his belt.

Lamar Jackson to surpass 900 rushing yards this season is a smart bet. His dual-threat capability makes him one of the most dangerous QBs in the league.

The Boom or Bust Picks: Anthony Richardson and Jordan Love

Anthony Richardson is a classic boom-or-bust candidate. His potential to be a league-winning pick is immense, especially in shallower leagues where the risk of failure is lower. Meanwhile, Jordan Love, who was QB3 in the second half of last season, is an undervalued option with significant upside, especially if Christian Watson stays healthy.

Anthony Richardson as a dark horse MVP candidate could be a high-reward bet. If he hits his ceiling, he could propel the Indianapolis Colts to a surprising season.

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Sleeper Picks: Jayden Daniels and Brock Purdy

Jayden Daniels offers huge upside due to his rushing equity and is likely to be the day-one starter. For those who prefer a safer pick, Jared Goff and Kirk Cousins remain reliable options with lower ceilings but higher floors.

Brock Purdy to finish as a top-10 fantasy QB is an interesting long-shot bet. With the San Francisco 49ers’ offense loaded with weapons, Purdy has the potential to outperform expectations.

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Strategic Tips: Navigating the Quarterback Landscape

When drafting a QB, it’s essential to balance risk and reward. While Josh Allen may be the consensus QB1, Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson offer similar upside with less uncertainty. If you prefer to wait on a QB, targeting players like Anthony Richardson or Jordan Love in the middle rounds could yield high rewards.

Consider placing a parlay bet involving Patrick Mahomes leading in passing yards, Jalen Hurts leading in rushing touchdowns, and Lamar Jackson surpassing 900 rushing yards. This combination leverages the strengths of each QB and offers a well-rounded betting strategy.

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Final Thoughts: Quarterback Draft Strategy and Betting

Quarterbacks are the backbone of both fantasy football teams and betting strategies in 2024. By understanding the nuances of each player’s situation and potential, you can make informed decisions that maximize your chances of success. Whether you’re looking for a safe pick, a boom-or-bust candidate, or a sleeper with upside, the QB position offers a wealth of options this season.

As the season progresses, keep an eye on QB injury reports and offensive changes, as these factors can significantly impact betting lines and player performance.

With these insights, you’re well-equipped to dominate your fantasy league and make strategic bets throughout the 2024 NFL season.

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