Broncos-Saints TNF: 5 Favorite Anytime Touchdown Best Bets
Ben DiGiacomo
Host · Writer
Week 7 of the NFL season kicks off tonight with an intriguing matchup as the New Orleans Saints will welcome back longtime head coach Sean Payton and his Denver Broncos for a Thursday Night Football bout. Here are the top touchdown bets you need to target.
How to Approach Alvin Kamara (-105)
Alvin Kamara is by far the most prolific touchdown scorer on the field tonight, and we’re getting him at a -105 price, given the 36.5 projected total. At -105, I don’t know how someone doesn’t take him, given the price and what’s happening with the Saints’ offense. Spencer Rattler remains under center at quarterback, and in terms of wide receivers, Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed will be sidelined tonight. This offense will go through Kamara tonight, and I’d be shocked if he doesn’t see at least 20 touchdowns when all is said and done. At -105, lock in the bet.
Bo Nix (+220) or Broncos’ RBs?
The Broncos offense has been complicated to track this season. Bo Nix leads the team in touchdowns, rushing in three on the year. By comparison, starting running back Javonte Williams (+150) has failed to find the endzone, and backup running back Jaleel McLaughlin (+380) has run a touchdown in and hauled in another one through the air. I can’t bet on Williams at +150 tonight, and I also struggle to get behind McLaughin at +380 since his volume is never a guarantee, so the only play for me to make here is Nix. At +220, he’s tied with Williams for the red-zone leader in carries and has three touchdowns to show for. He’s worth a sprinkle.
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Bub Means (+400)
Bub Means enters tonight as the Saints’ WR1, and last week, he stepped up in the wake of the injuries by recording five catches off of eight targets for 45 yards and a touchdown. He already has a strong rapport built with Rattler, and I struggle to pinpoint anyone likely to see the field that could out-target him. Plus, we don’t have to worry about Pat Surtain II in the secondary tonight. At +400, I need some action on this bet. Come on, we’re getting 4-1 odds on a guy who’ll be the WR1 who already scored a touchdown as the interim WR1 last week. It’s easy work!
Courtland Sutton (+250)
Courtland Sutton became one of our go-to touchdown targets last season, but unfortunately, we haven’t been able to go to him often this season. Still, he leads all Broncos’ wide receivers with two touchdowns, and even though that isn’t saying much, he’s the overwhelming leader in red-zone targets. If the ball is going in the air in the red zone, it’s likely to be heading in his direction. At +250, despite his red zone production, I’d rather sprinkle in longshot players with better odds, but I can’t fault anyone for making a play on Sutton.
Devaughn Vele (+460)
Devaughn Vele comes to the forefront of my mind when I mention wanting to sprinkle in action on longshot players with better odds. The 2024 seventh-round draft pick turned some heads in Week 1 when he made eight receptions, but he found himself sidelined due to injury until he returned last week, where he made four grabs off of six targets for 78 yards. His production was no fluke, and he feels due for a touchdown should that volume continue tonight, as we’re counting on. At +460, more than enough value is here to be had.
All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
