Commanders vs Lions Same Game Parlay | NFL Divisional Round Playoff Best Bets

The NFL Divisional Round brings a thrilling matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions. With the Lions’ high-octane offense and key players in peak form, this same game parlay leverages favorable trends and stats to maximize value. By teasing totals and focusing on standout players, this SGP offers a calculated path to success.

Where to Watch Commanders vs Lions

• Location: Ford Field (Detroit, Michigan) | Date: Saturday, Jan. 18
• Where to Watch: FOX | Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Spread: Lions -9.5, Moneyline: Lions -550, Total: 55.5

WAS-DET: SGP | Player Props | Anytime TD | Best Bets | Matchup Page

Leg 1: Over Alternate Game Total 48.5 (-280)

The Commanders can’t rely on their defense to contain the juggernaut Lions in the Divisional Round. Detroit leads the NFL in offensive plays per game and ranks second in both yards per play and total yards. Over their past four games, the Lions have averaged 456.5 yards and 38.8 points, peaking at the right time.

Washington’s defense has struggled lately, allowing over 337 yards per game in their last three outings. With the Lions’ relentless offense and the Commanders’ ability to exploit Detroit’s secondary, a high-scoring game feels inevitable. Teasing the total down to 48.5 (-280) makes this over a safer parlay addition.

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Leg 2: David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown -170

Backing Jahmyr Gibbs as an anytime touchdown scorer at -250 doesn’t offer much value, especially when David Montgomery emerges as a better option at a more appealing price. While Gibbs excelled during Montgomery’s absence, his role in goal-line situations has been limited—a role Montgomery has consistently dominated this season, putting up 12 rushing touchdowns in 14 games.

The bruising back’s return from a three-game hiatus puts him in prime position to reclaim his short-yardage duties, an area where he has thrived all year. With the Lions likely to lean on Montgomery near the goal line, he’s a strong candidate to find the end zone in Saturday’s matchup.

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Leg 3: Jayden Daniels Over Alt Passing Yards 200+ (-280)

The Lions enter the Divisional Round as heavy favorites at -9.5, which could push the Commanders into a pass-heavy game script. This dynamic plays right into Jayden Daniels’ strengths, making an alternate passing yards total of 200+ (-280) a solid leg while minimizing some risk.

Daniels has been on a tear, with his passing metrics skyrocketing over the past two months. Excluding Week 18, when his role was limited, Daniels has attempted 30 or more passes in eight straight games and exceeded 35 attempts in his last three outings. That uptick in volume has translated into production, as he’s averaged 251.0 passing yards per game across his previous three, dipping below 258 only once in that span.

With or without a pass-heavy game plan from Washington, Daniels’ recent form and increased workload give us confidence he’ll comfortably clear the 200-yard mark.

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Leg 4: Terry McLaurin Over Alt Receiving Yards 60+ (-170)

Our next pick takes a correlated angle: as Jayden Daniels performs, so does Terry McLaurin. The Commanders’ star wide receiver is well-positioned to surpass 60+ receiving yards (-170) in this matchup against the Lions.

McLaurin dominates Washington’s passing game, leading the team with 117 targets—nearly 30 more than anyone else—alongside 82 receptions and 1,096 yards. He’s been heavily relied on down the stretch, topping 10 targets in three of his last five games and surpassing hitting at least 60 yards in five of six.

Leg 5: Jameson Williams 50+ Receiving Yards (-158)

Amon-Ra St. Brown remains the Lions’ go-to receiver, but Jameson Williams has stepped up significantly recently. We’re banking on Williams continuing his strong play on Saturday, targeting the over on an alternate 50+ receiving yards (-158) for our parlay.

Since early December, Williams has racked up 371 receiving yards over five games, with 36 targets and three performances exceeding 56.5 yards. With Washington likely focusing defensive attention on St. Brown, Williams should have opportunities to find open space and comfortably clear this alternate total.

Commanders vs Lions SGP Payout: +659

This SGP features five carefully chosen legs: Over Alternate Game Total 48.5 (-280), David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown (-170), Jayden Daniels Over 200+ Passing Yards (-280), Terry McLaurin Over 60+ Receiving Yards (-170), and Jameson Williams Over 50+ Receiving Yards (-158). With a mix of high-value props and safer alternate lines, this parlay is positioned for a big payout. If all legs hit, the total odds come out to an impressive +659. 

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.