NFL · 9 months ago

Commanders vs Lions Divisional Playoffs Top 5 Anytime Touchdown Picks

Grant White

Host · Writer

Jayden Daniels +165
Jayden Daniels burst onto the NFL scene, recording four touchdowns through the first four games of his career. A rib injury tempered those expectations, but he'll have to get back on the horse if the Commanders have any hope of besting the Lions.

We've seen a more liberal rushing approach from Daniels in recent weeks. The presumptive Offensive Rookie of the Year has 53 rushing attempts over the past five games, eclipsing double-digits in all but two of those contests.

There aren't many holes in this Lions' defense, but two of the last four quarterbacks they've faced have found paydirt. At +165, it's worth betting Daniels becomes the third in five weeks.

NFL Divisional Round Rankings: Teams | Quarterbacks | Coaches | Underdog Upet Potential
Zach Ertz +250
Let's start with our top value play for Saturday's Divisional Round battle between the Washington Commanders and Detroit Lions. Jayden Daniels, Brian Robinson Jr., Terry McLaurin, and even Austin Ekeler are commanding the lion's share of attention in the any time touchdown scorer's market. Let's give Zach Ertz the credit he deserves.

Over the past few weeks, the Commanders' tight end has been a staple in Jayden Daniels' progressions. Ertz has 16 targets across his past three games, hauling in 13 receptions for 139 yards and three touchdowns. Moreover, the three-time Pro Bowler has been one of the most frequently targeted tight ends in the red zone. Heading into the Divisional Round, Ertz has been targeted 18 times inside the 20, crossing the plane on six occasions.

This is the best play on the board. Ertz is an irreplaceable presence, and he should get back into the end zone against the Lions.

FANATICS PROMO CODE – BET AND GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS
Jameson Williams +135
There is no shortage of playmakers on the Lions' side of the football. While the attention is showered on the usual suspects, Jameson Williams is quietly skating by as another value touchdown scorer.

Williams enters the contest as a mid-range +135 option to score, flying in the face of his stellar end to the season. The Lions' wideout has been targeted 28 times over the previous four contests, eclipsing seven targets in all but one of those games. More importantly, he went off for 291 yards on 19 receptions over that span, recording a touchdown in three of those four outings.

The Commanders have a very beatable secondary. Any extra help they have will be deployed toward Amon-Ra St. Brown, allowing Williams to fly under the radar again.

NFL Divisional Round Matchup Pages: Texans vs. Chiefs | Ravens vs. Bills | Rams vs. Eagles | Commanders vs. Lions
David Montgomery -170
There's little value to be had in backing Jahmyr Gibbs as an any time touchdown scorer at -250. Comparatively, David Montgomery presents as a top candidate to cross the plane at a slightly discounted rate.

While Gibbs thrived without Montgomery in the lineup, he was less effective in goal-to-go scenarios. And that's been Montgomery's shining quality in this lineup. The hulking back is consistently deployed in short-yardage scenarios, which will undoubtedly be the case again on Saturday.

Montgomery is poised to return from his three-game absence, and the Lions will be eager to maximize his usage. He'll get a consistent diet inside the five and should end up in the end zone.

WAS-DET: SGP | Player Props | Anytime TD | Best Bets | Matchup Page
Lions Defense +470
Defensive touchdowns are a less frequent phenomenon in the playoffs. Still, we like Detroit's chances of flexing its muscles and finding the end zone against the Commanders.

The Lions have been one of the best units at turning the ball over this season. They ranked in the top 10, forcing 1.4 turnovers per game. However, touchdowns have been a much more rare occurrence. Detroit has recorded just two defensive touchdowns this season, not finding the end zone since Week 9.

Washington could be playing at a deficit throughout, forcing them to get a little reckless. We're betting the Lions capitalize at home.

NFL Divisional Round Previews: Predictions | What You Need to Know | 4 Teams That Should Be Worried
Jayden Daniels +165
Jayden Daniels burst onto the NFL scene, recording four touchdowns through the first four games of his career. A rib injury tempered those expectations, but he'll have to get back on the horse if the Commanders have any hope of besting the Lions.

We've seen a more liberal rushing approach from Daniels in recent weeks. The presumptive Offensive Rookie of the Year has 53 rushing attempts over the past five games, eclipsing double-digits in all but two of those contests.

There aren't many holes in this Lions' defense, but two of the last four quarterbacks they've faced have found paydirt. At +165, it's worth betting Daniels becomes the third in five weeks.

NFL Divisional Round Rankings: Teams | Quarterbacks | Coaches | Underdog Upet Potential
Zach Ertz +250
Let's start with our top value play for Saturday's Divisional Round battle between the Washington Commanders and Detroit Lions. Jayden Daniels, Brian Robinson Jr., Terry McLaurin, and even Austin Ekeler are commanding the lion's share of attention in the any time touchdown scorer's market. Let's give Zach Ertz the credit he deserves.

Over the past few weeks, the Commanders' tight end has been a staple in Jayden Daniels' progressions. Ertz has 16 targets across his past three games, hauling in 13 receptions for 139 yards and three touchdowns. Moreover, the three-time Pro Bowler has been one of the most frequently targeted tight ends in the red zone. Heading into the Divisional Round, Ertz has been targeted 18 times inside the 20, crossing the plane on six occasions.

This is the best play on the board. Ertz is an irreplaceable presence, and he should get back into the end zone against the Lions.

FANATICS PROMO CODE – BET AND GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS

Commanders vs Lions Divisional Playoffs Top 5 Anytime Touchdown Picks

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