Dolphins vs Packers Thanksgiving: NFL Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

The NFL’s Thanksgiving triple-header will finish off in a frigid Lambeau Field as the Miami Dolphins will head north to face the Green Bay Packers, so here are the top touchdown props for you to look out for.

How to Approach Josh Jacobs (-160)?

It will be a frigid night in Lambeau, so this Packers’ offense will run through Josh Jacobs even more than it already does. I envision him surpassing or at least coming close to the 20-carry mark, and with that type of volume, he’s a great bet to find the endzone. He’s combined for six scores across the last four weeks, so to boost the -160 price to near even-money, pair him to run for 60 yards for a +115 parlay. Additionally, there is value in him scoring twice at +380, as he has had two multi-touchdown games across the past four weeks.

Must-Bet: De’Von Achane (-105)

At -105, you need to find a way to get De’Von Achane to score a touchdown into your betting card. The frigid temperatures will go over well for Achane as he will lead the team in carries and potentially in targets. He’s scored in six of seven games with Tua Tagovailoa as his quarterback, with two multi-touchdown games mixed in. At -105, find a way to get him into your betting card.

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Jayden Reed (+175) or the Field?

If the running game is going well for the Packers, they won’t be afraid to pound the rock and limit Jordan Love’s throws. That makes sense, given the elements, and we saw Love only throw 23 pass attempts on Sunday. Looking at the Packers’ pass catchers, I will look to stay away from all of them because I worry there won’t be enough volume to go around. At +175, Jayden Reed would be the wisest bet because he’s always a factor in getting a carry out of the backfield in the red zone. The Dolphins have one of the better pass defenses in the NFL, so I’ll stay away from downfield threats like Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft.

Tyreek Hill (+150), Jayden Waddle (+230), Jonnu Smith (+250)?

Tua Tagovailoa in the cold weather isn’t something we want any part of, and even though he and the rest of the Dolphins (apparently) welcome the opportunity to face the elements, it’s not worth putting our money behind. Still, Tyreek Hill is always a wise wager to score a touchdown, especially considering his YAC ability, so you could make a sprinkle on him to score at +150. Jaylen Waddle turned heads last week as he went for 144 yards and a touchdown on eight receptions. Still, I worry about there being enough volume in the air for a potential repeat performance. Jonnu Smith has also caught some attention at +250 as he’s combined for 15 catches, 189 yards, and three touchdowns across the past two weeks, but I don’t trust in Tua’s arm enough to make a wager. I would look to bet Hill first, then Smith over Waddle.

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Same-Game Parlay

I’m all over Josh Jacobs and De’Von Achane, so I’ll parlay them to score at +220. If we look to get a little wild, I’d take them to score twice each for an intriguing +2650 parlay.

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook