NFL SGP: +1000 Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions

Week 4 of the NFL wraps up tonight with what should be a fun game. The undefeated Seattle Seahawks will hit the road to face the Detroit Lions, prompting us to work up an ultimate same-game parlay.

Valued at +1000, let’s ride!

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Leg 1: Lions -2.5

I’m not trying to discredit the Seahawks’ 3-0 record, but who have they played? Week 1, they narrowly beat the Denver Broncos at home in Bo Nix’s NFL debut. In Week 2, they almost lost to a bad New England Patriots team before blowing out the Miami Dolphins in Week 3, who didn’t have a quarterback. They are going into the Lions’ den tonight to face one of the NFC’s most elite teams, so I struggle to see the Seahawks rising to the occasion under the lights. I’ll tease the spread down to -2.5 to ensure we don’t get burned by a field goal hook.

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Leg 2: David Montgomery Anytime TD

David Montgomery is this offense’s most reliable touchdown scorer, finding the endzone in each of the past three weeks. Even if Jahmyr Gibbs leads this offense down the field, should the Lions’ find themselves within the five-yard line, it’s undoubtedly Montgomery’s ball to cross the goal line. We expect tonight’s game to have many points, so we trust Montgomery can give us a touchdown to make this a sweat-free leg.

Leg 3: Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ Receiving Yards

After an underwhelming Week 1 debut, Amon-Ra St. Brown went for 119 yards in Week 2 and 75 yards in Week 3. This guy can get 60 receiving yards in his sleep, and especially being at home where this offense is at its best, we have no issues expecting St. Brown to get us 60 yards. He did it in every home game in 2023, so we’ll count on it tonight.

Leg 4: Jahmyr Gibbs 3+ Receptions

Oddly, Jahmyr Gibbs didn’t receive a target in Week 3, but we’re not too concerned about that happening again tonight. He made seven catches in Week 2, four in Week 1, and seven when these two teams faced off in Week 2 of the 2023 season. That’s good enough for us!

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Leg 5: DK Metcalf 4+ Receptions

We’re expecting the Seahawks’ offense to have to air it out a bunch as we’re hoping they’ll be playing catch-up from behind, opening up the door for DK Metcalf to make at least four receptions. The Lions’ secondary has no one capable of covering him one-on-one, and the Seahawks will need to pepper him with targets tonight if they want a chance at winning this game on the road. Although Metcalf’s volume has been inconsistent this season, I have complete confidence that he’ll make four grabs tonight.

Leg 6: Noah Fant 2+ Receptions

Noah Fant has made at least two receptions in two of three games this season, and he’s coming off a six-catch game in Week 3. I don’t see Fant going from having six catches to none or one tonight. I trust that the tight end will be able to collect two grabs quietly throughout the game.

 

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