NFL Week 4 Betting: Target These Picks in the Late Games

Week 4 brings exciting matchups, including the Washington Commanders against the Arizona Cardinals and the Kansas City Chiefs squaring off with the Los Angeles Chargers. Both games feature intriguing betting opportunities with solid prop bets and over/under totals that bettors should keep an eye on. Let’s break down these matchups, analyze key players, and find the best betting angles.

Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks.

Commanders vs. Cardinals: Can Washington Keep Rolling?

The Commanders and Cardinals face off in a game where the total has dropped significantly, from 58.5 down to 48.5. Arizona is coming off a lackluster offensive performance, but the key question is whether Jayden Daniels and Kyler Murray can move the football effectively. Daniels has been impressive recently, and as long as Terry McLaurin stays involved in the offense, the Commanders could challenge the Cardinals’ secondary.

Betting Insight: Take the Over

Despite the drop in the total, this game has the potential for a shootout. Both Washington and Arizona’s defenses have struggled, and the offensive firepower of Kyler Murray, Jayden Daniels, and Marvin Harrison Jr. means points should come in bunches.

• Betting Pick: Over 48.5 total points. Both teams should exploit defensive weaknesses, making the over a strong play.

Points! NFL Week 4 Most Bet Totals, Overs & Unders

Betting Insight: Taking the Points

The Cardinals come in as 3.5-point underdogs, but they’ve shown enough offensively to stay in this game. With Kyler Murray leading the charge and Washington’s defense being inconsistent, Arizona could easily cover.

• Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals +3.5. Look for Arizona to either win outright or keep the game within a field goal, especially if they can get an early lead.

Prop Bet: Robinson and Stevenson to Score

Brian Robinson Jr. has been a steady presence in Washington’s run game, and he has a solid chance to find the end zone in this matchup. Similarly, in the earlier New England game, Rhamondre Stevenson is poised to score.

• Betting Pick: Brian Robinson anytime touchdown scorer. His consistent usage makes him a solid prop bet to score.
• Betting Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson anytime touchdown scorer. Look for him to capitalize on New England’s red-zone opportunities.

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Chiefs vs. Chargers: Close Divisional Battle

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers matchup is always must-watch football. Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert lead explosive offenses, but the betting focus here may lean more toward the prop market, especially when it comes to star tight end Travis Kelce.

Betting Insight: Take the Chargers with the Points

The Chargers have played the Chiefs tough since Patrick Mahomes took over, often keeping games close with their high-powered offense. Though betting on the full game spread might be risky, taking the points for the Chargers feels like a smart move, as Justin Herbert and J.K. Dobbins can keep this game competitive.

• Betting Pick: Chargers +6.5. Look for Los Angeles to hang with Kansas City, even if the Chiefs ultimately pull out the win.

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Prop Bet: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown

With the Chiefs likely focusing on Travis Kelce in this matchup, his touchdown potential is high. Kelce is a prime candidate to be force-fed by Mahomes, especially after last year’s success against the Chargers.

• Betting Pick: Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer. Expect Mahomes to rely heavily on Kelce, especially in red-zone situations.

Prop Bet: First Quarter Slow Start

If both teams start slow, there’s an opportunity to live bet the over once the total dips. With both defenses adjusting early, the game could stay tight through the first quarter before opening up in the second half.

• Betting Pick: If the game starts scoreless in the first quarter, consider live betting the total once it dips into the mid-thirties. This creates a window for betting the over at a more favorable number.

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Conclusion: Best Bets for Commanders vs. Cardinals and Chiefs vs. Chargers

The Commanders-Cardinals game could turn into a high-scoring affair, making the over 48.5 a smart play. Additionally, Arizona’s ability to hang around gives them value at +3.5. In the Chiefs-Chargers matchup, taking the Chargers with the points and betting on a Travis Kelce touchdown offers great betting value. For live bettors, watching the early game tempo in Chiefs-Chargers could provide opportunities to pounce on a lower total.

Top Betting Picks:

• Over 48.5 points in Commanders vs. Cardinals
• Arizona Cardinals +3.5
• Brian Robinson Jr. anytime touchdown scorer
• Chargers +6.5
• Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer
• Live betting the over if the first quarter is scoreless in Chiefs vs. Chargers

These matchups promise excitement and value for bettors looking to capitalize on key player performances and team trends.

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