Texans vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay | NFL Divisional Round Playoff Best Bets

The NFL playoffs are here, and it’s the perfect time to craft a Same Game Parlay that capitalizes on key matchups and player performances. With the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Houston Texans, we’ve identified four strong plays that offer value while staying rooted in logic and stats. 

Where to Watch Texans vs Chiefs

• Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET | Where to Watch: NBC
• Spread: Chiefs -8.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -460 | Total: 41.5

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Leg 1: Chiefs Alternate Spread -6.5 (-170)

The Chiefs are poised to make another strong push for the AFC title and a potential third consecutive Super Bowl appearance. Despite their impressive 15-2 record this season, the Chiefs didn’t always display overwhelming dominance on the field. However, Patrick Mahomes’ ability to shine in January and the team’s strong home-field advantage make Kansas City a tough team to bet against.

On the other side, the Texans have quietly shown improvement, particularly on defense, making them a more formidable opponent than their record might suggest. This defensive resurgence could give some pause, which is why we are teasing this down so that KC covers winning by one score. While Kansas City hasn’t been known for blowout victories this season, they showed signs of hitting their stride late in the year. In the postseason, the Chiefs often find another gear, and with Mahomes leading the way, it’s hard to see them falling short in this spot. Taking the slightly reduced alternate spread gives us a more favorable number while still backing one of the league’s most reliable postseason teams.

NFL Divisional Round Previews

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Leg 2: Isiah Pacheco UNDER 41.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

The Chiefs’ rushing attack has been inconsistent this season, making Isiah Pacheco’s under a compelling choice. Pacheco has struggled to produce recently, failing to hit 41.5 rushing yards in his last three games. His highest output during that stretch was just 32 yards in Week 15 against the Cleveland Browns, and he’s only logged 15 total carries over the past two games.

The Texans’ defense, which allowed just 4.3 yards per carry during the regular season (10th best in the NFL), adds another layer of difficulty for Pacheco to find success on the ground. Houston also held the LA Chargers to just 50 total rushing yards in their Wild Card weekend win in the opening round. With the Chiefs opting to split carries between Pacheco and Kareem Hunt, he is unlikely to see enough volume to surpass this total. All signs point to the under being the smarter play here.

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NFL Division Round Matchup Pages

HOU vs KC | BAL vs BUF 
LAR vs PHI | WSH vs DET 

Leg 3: C.J. Stroud Alt Passing Yards 200+ (-235)

For the Texans to pull off a road upset in the Divisional Round, C.J. Stroud will need to deliver a strong performance. Stroud showed glimpses of his rookie-season form last week, with 282 passing yards against LA, an encouraging sign that he’s regaining confidence at the right time. While the alternate total of 200+ passing yards provides a safer leg for this parlay, it’s well within Stroud’s capabilities.

Late in the season, Stroud eclipsed 230 yards in five of six games, including a 244-yard performance in an 8-point loss to the Chiefs. If the Texans find themselves trailing, as many expect, Stroud will likely have to lean heavily on his arm to keep the game competitive. This lower yardage threshold feels like a strong, safe addition to the parlay.

Chiefs vs Texans 5 Keys to Victory: Texans | Chiefs

Leg 4: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+150)

When it comes to playoff football, no Kansas City pass-catcher steps up like Travis Kelce. While his touchdown numbers were down during the regular season, history shows that Kelce elevates his game in the postseason. Over the Chiefs’ last four playoff runs, he has found the end zone 13 times, underscoring his importance in critical moments.

The matchup also tilts in Kelce’s favor. The Texans have struggled to defend against the pass in the red zone, allowing the third-most passing touchdowns in the league this season (31). They’ve also given up eight touchdowns to tight ends, the eighth-most in the NFL. With the Chiefs relying on Kelce in big spots and this favorable matchup, this +150 value feels like a great addition to any parlay.

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Chargers vs Texans SGP Payout: +967 

This SGP combines four carefully selected legs: Chiefs Alternate Spread -6.5 (-170),  C.J. Stroud Alt Passing Yards 200+ (-235), Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+150), and Isiah Pacheco UNDER 41.5 Rushing Yards (-114). Each pick leverages key trends and matchups to create a high-value parlay with a realistic path to success. If all three legs hit, the total odds come out to an impressive +967. It’s a bold but calculated way to elevate your enjoyment of this playoff showdown. Good luck!

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.