Name: NFC South Battle: Buccaneers vs. Panthers Playoff Chances
Uploaded: 2025-12-28T11:51:42-05:00
Duration: 4 min 8 s
Description: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, NFC South favorites, will clash with the Panthers in Week 18, possibly deciding who takes the division and hosts a playoff game.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, NFC South favorites, will clash with the Panthers in Week 18, possibly deciding who takes the division and hosts a playoff game.

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NFC South Battle: Buccaneers vs. Panthers Playoff Chances

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Let's go to the NFC South. At the beginning of the year, the Tampa Bay Bucs were my pick. I did not expect it to be this difficult, but as of right now, they sit at -158 to win their NFC South. But here come the Carolina Panthers, plus 134. Joe, is there anything here? Well, besides my rage, uh, from last week, I don't know, there might be something here. Look, the Buccaneers got off to a great start. We were talking about Baker Mayfield, MVP the 1st 6 weeks of the season, and he deserved it. And he had a lot of injuries around him. Tristan Werfs to start the year was hurt. Then you lose Bucky Irving, you lost Mike Evans, and then you get everybody back, and they keep losing games, and, and this is what's perplexing to me. And I know Baker's playing hurt, I give him a lot of. Credit. We know that shoulder is not 100%. But the fact that they've lost these games to Atlanta, lost these games to Carolina, they just keep losing everywhere. In a game last week, they should have won yet again, extremely frustrating. If you're a Bucks fan, you're very frustrated. And as a fantasy manager too, you're a little frustrated too because everything that you saw that you hoped for is everybody getting healthy, putting it all together, just hasn't been there. And now they're in a tough spot because the Carolina Panthers are starting to. Leave a little bit. Now, the probability here of the Panthers lose and making the playoffs is 38%, 44% currently just as is, and then 56% if they win. If the Buccaneers win today, they have a 65% chance of making the playoffs because they play the Carolina Panthers next week and then it all comes down to the tiebreakers. So they gotta win this week, they gotta win next week. The Buccaneers control their own destiny. I think it's really interesting that despite all the ineptitude of the Buccaneers these last few weeks, Matt. I mean, since the bye, they're 1 and 6, what are we doing here? What are we doing here, Tampa Bay? So, despite all that negativity, Vegas still sees them as the favorite, which I think tells us something, but Matt, I'm not sure if I feel comfortable with it at this juncture. Where are you at with this division? Yeah, this is one of those things as a was once called a smart wager is this is a stay away. This is no play here because if, if I lean the bucks here, I still have to spend and if I don't truly believe in them, why would I buy a product in which I think I'm gonna return? In this case there are no returns. On the other side, to lean on the Panthers just, just to get + 134 at this point in the season. If that's what I need to do, I've made some grave errors leading up to this point. And that's just an overall wagering philosophy. Now, let's see if we can apply that to the NFC West because the Seattle Seahawks sit at -104, right? Strange number, but most people understand. Niners at +215, I want you to talk about that, and then the Rams at 370. Well, the Seahawks find themselves right now as the one seed. Now they've got a match up against the Carolina Panthers today on the road, so obviously we'll see how that shakes out. Seattle's favored in this game as they should be. The defense has played great. Sam Darnold's played very well. I'm sure the Minnesota Vikings are looking and saying, maybe we should have held on to Sam Darnold. Maybe we should have given him another chance despite the, uh, epic fail at the end. So what's so interesting here is that Seattle controls their own destiny, right? You went out tonight, you're in a really good situation because then you play that last game against the Forty-Niners who See here are 2nd. So 49ers have to continue to win, and they need Seattle to lose this game today. I don't think that's gonna happen. I think Seattle carries this year. And of course, you got the Rams nipping at their heels as well. I think the Rams don't care about the seeding. I think all the Rams are looking for right now is to get healthy. So that's why I think you will see them waiting on Devonte Adams. You get, like, it's an older team, right? So you gotta make sure you're getting these guys to the dance as long as they don't have to travel into like the snow where they did last year. I think the Rams feel pretty confident they can go to Seattle, they can go to San Fran, they can go anywhere basically to win, except maybe a cold weather environment, which is where it gets tricky potentially for them. So, we'll see how it all shakes out these next two weeks. But right now, Seattle's in the driver's seat and I think the schedule favors them. Especially when you consider that 49ers defense has taken so many hits. Matt, I don't know how you see this division laying out there. We talked about this in the beginning of the year. The win total was 8.5 for the Seattle Seahawks, and we both thought that it was grossly underrepresenting how good this team could be.

NFC South Battle: Buccaneers vs. Panthers Playoff Chances

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