Alabama’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Alabama based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Alabama Crimson Tide Market Brief
Alabama is the market’s premier "high-ceiling" asset. The Crimson Tide is again one of the nation’s top 3-point volume teams, stifling opponents with their pace-of-play metrics. The market treats Alabama with high conviction but high volatility. ‘Bama is a popular play for bettors who favor "math-over-momentum." Their odds remain stable because their efficiency metrics (ORtg) remain elite.
Alabama2%Key Stats
2%
Current Probability
0%
30-Day Change
#T-15
Current Rank
What's Driving Alabama's Odds
Analytical Offense: Nate Oats’ system focuses entirely on long-distance shooting and layups, resulting in a top-tier offense.
Home-Court Dominance: Incredible home-road splits have built a significant betting premium for any game played in Tuscaloosa.
The "Philon" Breakthrough: Sophomore Labaron Philon has emerged as a top-tier playmaker, giving Alabama the backcourt stability needed for March.
Alabama vs Other Top Contenders
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Alabama Crimson Tide FAQs
No. Alabama’s best finish was its first Final Four appearance in 2024.
Alabama is known for "Oats-ball"—an ultra-fast, analytically driven style that prioritizes pace, 3-point shooting, and rim attacks while shunning mid-range jumpers.
Brandon Miller, Herb Jones, Collin Sexton, and Latrell Sprewell.