Arkansas’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Arkansas based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Arkansas Razorbacks Market Brief
The Razorbacks market is in a "talent-evaluation" phase. Arkansas is a high-conviction play based on pure NBA talent. The market wave is bullish, as bettors are buying into the "Calipari Effect" amid his freshmen (Acuff and Thomas) integrating faster than expected. Their odds represent a "talent premium" that keeps them as a Tier-1 dark horse for the title.
Arkansas2%Key Stats
2%
Current Probability
0%
30-Day Change
#T-15
Current Rank
What's Driving Arkansas's Odds
Projected Lottery Talent: Darius Acuff and Meleek Thomas are both projected as upper-first-round NBA picks, offering a level of individual brilliance that can "steal" tournament games.
Defensive Versatility: Arkansas possesses elite length in the frontcourt, ranking in the top 25 nationally in blocked shots.
The Calipari Factor: Much like Dan Hurley, John Calipari commands a "coaching premium" in betting markets, especially during the high-stakes SEC season.
Arkansas vs Other Top Contenders
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Arkansas Razorbacks FAQs
Yes. Arkansas won the national title in 1994 under Nolan Richardson.
Historically known for "40 Minutes of Hell" (pressing), the modern style under Calipari emphasizes a pro-style dribble-drive offense and elite individual playmaking.
Joe Johnson, Sidney Moncrief, Bobby Portis, and Anthony Black.