Illinois’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Illinois based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Illinois Fighting Illini Market Brief
Illinois is a surging market leader in the Big Ten. The Illini have transitioned from a "question mark" to a "conviction play." The market is reacting to a top-shelf offensive rating and a mid -season win streak, which included a road win over Purdue. Sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with many viewing them as the primary challenger to the Boilermakers past dominance.
Illinois6%Key Stats
6%
Current Probability
+2%
30-Day Change
#6
Current Rank
What's Driving Illinois's Odds
International Frontcourt Skillset: The addition of 7-footers who can pass and shoot has made Illinois the most difficult "scout" in the Big Ten.
Elite Efficiency: Illinois ranks among the best in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, driven by high-percentage shooting and elite floor spacing.
Clutch Performance: Their ability to win rugged road games (e.g., at Northwestern, Ohio State, and Purdue) has built significant trust with betting sharps.
Illinois vs Other Top Contenders
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Illinois Fighting Illini FAQs
No. Illinois has reached the Final Four five times, with its best finish being National Runner-up in 2005.
Under Brad Underwood, the Illini play "Positionless Basketball," often featuring athletic big men who can bring the ball up the court and shoot 3-pointers.
Deron Williams, Kendall Gill, Ayo Dosunmu, and Terrence Shannon Jr.