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Kansas’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability

Live prediction market forecasts for Kansas based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.

📊 Kansas Jayhawks Market Brief

Kansas is the market’s premier "value-buy" right now. The Jayhawks’ first half of the season featured one of the hardest schedules in the country. Prediction markets treat them as a Top-10 team, ignoring the raw record in favor of their elite efficiency. Sentiment is "long" on Kansas, with bettors expecting a typical Bill Self February surge.

$352.8K Volume
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Kansas3%

Key Stats

3%

Current Probability

0%

30-Day Change

#T-12

Current Rank

What's Driving Kansas's Odds

  • Bill Self’s Track Record: Kansas has a historic tendency to peak late, making them a popular "futures" bet even during mid-season slumps.

  • Lockdown Defense: Kansas has been powered by Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, having already held top contender Iowa State to a season-low point total.

  • All-American Versatility: The presence of veteran playmakers in the post ensures that Kansas remains efficient even when its perimeter shots aren't falling.

Kansas vs Other Top Contenders

Kansas Jayhawks FAQs

Yes. Kansas has won four national championships (last in 2022).

Kansas is known for sophisticated high-low post entries and a "lockdown" man-to-man defense that emphasizes denying the middle of the floor.

Wilt Chamberlain, Paul Pierce, Joel Embiid, and Andrew Wiggins.