Texas Tech’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Texas Tech based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech is a market darling to win the National Championship, driven by elite efficiency. The Red Raiders have surged after beating BYU and Duke. Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish; the market is reacting to their status as one of the Big 12's most efficient shooting teams. They are currently priced as a "Final Four sleeper."
Texas3%Key Stats
3%
Current Probability
+1%
30-Day Change
#T-12
Current Rank
What's Driving Texas's Odds
JT Toppin’s Dominance: The Big 12 Player of the Year candidate provides interior scoring and rebounding that anchors a smart offense.
Elite Perimeter Shooting: The Red Raiders have been marksmen from deep, making them a nightmare to defend in a single-elimination format.
Grant McCasland’s System: A high-IQ, low-turnover offense that maximizes every possession and ranks well in KenPom.
Texas vs Other Top Contenders
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Texas Tech Red Raiders FAQs
No. Their best finish was a National Runner-up appearance in 2019.
Texas Tech is famous for "No-Middle" defense and a modern, space-oriented offense that prioritizes high-percentage 3-point looks.
Jarrett Culver, Zhaire Smith, and Tony Battie.