Belmont (+8.5) vs. Indiana State
Indiana State is the best mid-major team in America, but the MVC is a brutal conference that is deeper than most realize. Belmont, a 5-5, middle-of-the-road MVC team that can bring it on any night, is the best example of how deep the league can be. Their home victory over Drake is a shining example of that, as is their dominance at home. The only reason the Bruins have fallen out of grace with metrics is because three of their previous five games were on the road, where they dropped all three. This team may not be able to beat the Sycamores in a massive spot, but they should be able to compete and potentially keep things within the number.
