Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July Hot Dog Eating Contest Most Bet Props

The Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July Hot Dog Eating Contest remains an iconic summer spectacle, and the betting action is just as heated as the grill. Here’s a breakdown of the most popular prop bets at BetMGM for the 2025 showdown.

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Joey Chestnut: Under 71.5 Hot Dogs

It’s no surprise that Joey Chestnut—known as “Jaws”—dominates the conversation. This year, 86% of the money is backing Chestnut to eat under 71.5 hot dogs, the contest’s most popular market.

Why the under? Bettors believe Chestnut, back in Coney Island after last year’s Netflix detour with Takeru Kobayashi, may conserve energy in the summer heat. With Chestnut listed as a massive -2500 favorite, many expect him to coast to another mustard belt without pushing for a new record. The consensus is that 68–69 dogs might get the job done, staying comfortably below the posted number.

Patrick Bertoletti: Win Without Joey Chestnut

With Chestnut’s supremacy all but locked in, competitive eaters are jockeying for second place glory. Bettors are hammering Patrick Bertoletti (-165) in the “Winner Without Joey Chestnut” market—92% of the money is riding on Bertoletti to outpace the field minus the king.

Bertoletti won last year’s contest during Chestnut’s absence, edging out veterans like Jeffrey Esper and James Webb. With Joey back, the real sweat is whether the “Italian Stallion” can handle the pressure and hold off challengers for best of the rest.

Miki Sudo: Over 44.5 Hot Dogs

On the women’s side, Miki Sudo remains untouchable. The reigning champion has an overwhelming 99% of the money backing her to crush the over at 44.5 hot dogs.

Sudo’s consistency and endurance have made her a reliable over bet every July 4th. Despite the cramping and mental grind that come with 10 minutes of nonstop eating, she’s eyeing another personal best and shows no signs of slowing down.

Most Bet Hot Dog Eating Contest Props

• 86% of money is on Joey Chestnut under 71.5 hot dogs eaten (most popular market)
• 92% of money is on Patrick Bertoletti (-165) to win without Joey Chestnut
• 99% of money is on Miki Sudo over 44.5 hot dogs eaten

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest Past Winners

Year	Winners	Hot Dogs and Buns Eaten
2024	Men’s: Patrick Bertoletti	58
2024	Women’s: Miki Sudo	51
2023	Men’s: Joey Chestnut	62
2023	Women’s: Miki Sudo	39.5
2022	Men’s: Joey Chestnut	63
2022	Women’s: Miki Sudo	40
2021	Men’s: Joey Chestnut	76
2021	Women’s: Michelle Lesco	30.75
2020	Men’s: Joey Chestnut	75
2020	Women’s: Miki Sudo	48.5
2019	Men’s: Joey Chestnut	71
2019	Women’s: Miki Sudo	31

Hot Dog Eating Contest Bottom Line

Chestnut’s return, Bertoletti’s bid for the backup crown, and Sudo’s push for new heights are driving the action at the book. With hot dogs, humidity, and high stakes on the line, the Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest remains one of the quirkiest—and most bet—events on the sports calendar.