Name: Gino & Scott's Picks for Churchill Downs Betting: Saturday Races
Uploaded: 2025-11-14T16:05:55-05:00
Duration: 4 min 37 s
Description: Get Gino Buccola and Scott Shapiro's betting tips for all the top races on the betting card at Churchill Downs, with in-depth analysis and top value picks.

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Get Gino Buccola and Scott Shapiro's betting tips for all the top races on the betting card at Churchill Downs, with in-depth analysis and top value picks.

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Gino & Scott's Picks for Churchill Downs Betting: Saturday Races

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Such a big day on Saturday at Churchill Downs. I mean, there are some really good betting races, so we wanted to go through the card and give a couple of races where we had strong opinions, and one of those first races was in race number 4 on Saturday. This is a race on paper. I thought it has a really good amount of early speed in here. They're going to be going 6 furlongs. I mean, when you see a horse like Wound up from Southern California in the race, you know they'll be flying. I mean, sharp warning is really, really quick. Concrete glory is very, very fast. I wanted a horse that can sit off the pace a little bit, that can close. Raymond is actually coming in from Prairie Meadows, but if you look at some of the races, I mean, he's faced some pretty nice horses like Glenn Gary, who's 7 for 15, and Skelly. I think he gets a good trip, Scott. He's 6 to 1 on the morning line. Anything above like 9 to 2, I think is a fair price, and that should give me some nice value in there. So that's race number 4, which is, uh, one of these claiming crown races. They're really good big fields on Saturday. Scott, you've got to play, I believe, in race number 7. Yeah, and it looks like Raymond's coming in fresh. And I remember that horse when he was, uh, younger in the Steve Asmussen barn. Uh, race 7 for me is, uh, one of the, is that the one turn mile, and, uh, it is one of the claiming races as well. I think it's the glass slipper, if I'm not mistaken. And I think the pace should be honest and contentious in here as well. Jubil and Joni won this race a year ago, and there's some speed horses that, uh, have come in in good form, but I'm gonna go to the Jose Ortiz. We talked about Jose being, uh, well, we didn't talk about it being Ira's brother, but amongst that top 5 list, you, you put IA in there, Jose there as well. And I thought this horse, uh, took on a better field last time for sure in the Marylandi. I know that was state bred, but those aren't claimers. And I think he's got the right running style. I think Jose with the speed right to his inside is gonna be about to angle over, sit kind of a mid-pack trip and get a good setup here. So I think next girl for the Robert. Bale's barn, and Mid-Atlantic barn, of course, has never been to Louisville, but uh, I'm hoping that she takes to the new surroundings. Yeah, when you just look at some of the races that she's exiting, they're just some really strong races at Laurel and colonial, not a lot of claiming races, a lot of those non-winners of two allowance races as well. So that's one thing you're looking at, and I'm looking at, what have these horses been doing recently? What races are they coming out of? And some of them are coming out of some really strong races like Next Girl. We moved to my uh Next best bet on the day. And this one's gonna be in race number 9. It's interesting. Uh, the first horse I was just talking about in the 4th race was a situation where I thought there was a lot of speed and it could set up from someone from off the pace. This race in the 9th race, I think it's the opposite. I don't think there's much speed on paper at all in this big field. I think Soze is the one to catch. You look just a couple of starts back, this horse was winning at Monmouth Park at Delaware Park. There's a lot of wins at parks. The concern that I 7 for longs might be a little bit pushing it. For Soze, I will probably include Scott, uh, take charge smiling, who I think could sit right behind and maybe fall into it. So I'm looking for some speed horses, but if you're playing like a late pick 45, something like that, I want to throw in a couple of these horses that are going to be forwardly placed like Soze. So I'm gonna give that one a big look. I think Soze is double digit odds on the morning line should offer you some really nice value in here. Yeah, 12 to 1, and, uh, you know, Steve can forget, uh, what kind of class level it's up against, often if it gets brave on the front end. I'm gonna go to the last race for the, uh, last play, and these are kind of, you can combine these races for some horizontal wagers as well. Um, you know, some of our thoughts and some of your own as well. And this is the, uh, Tierra, the claiming crown Tiara. Risk Manager is the deserving favorite in here, uh, 11 for 36 in the. Three straight wins. Mike Maker, Tyler Gari, they know their way around and to this winner circle. But Nantaska Beach does as well. This is the son of street boss that won a race impressively, in fact, knocked me out of the horizontals that day. So I remember him quite well. Last time out, he was shipped into Saratoga for this low profile barn, and I took, obviously that's a positive. You know, he didn't run very well, but he also did not have things his way. He was Wide and off the pace the day where the inside was good and there was a speed horse on the front end. So to me, man, Tasket Beach with Julian Le Peru being refreshing for the spot seems well spotted. It seems like they regrouped and they're getting again lesser competition than they faced last out. So I'll swing away. We're, you know, we're all kind of looking at these 8 to 15 to 16 to 1, you know, not total bombs like you would agree, but, uh, some price horses.

Gino & Scott's Picks for Churchill Downs Betting: Saturday Races

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