Name: Grade Three Chilukki Stakes Preview at Churchill Downs
Uploaded: 2025-11-14T16:00:09-05:00
Duration: 6 min 15 s
Description: Dive into Gino Buccola and Scott Shapiro's insights on the Grade Three Chilukki Stakes at Churchill Downs, featuring top contenders Impel and Shred the Gnar.

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Dive into Gino Buccola and Scott Shapiro's insights on the Grade Three Chilukki Stakes at Churchill Downs, featuring top contenders Impel and Shred the Gnar.

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Grade Three Chilukki Stakes Preview at Churchill Downs

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Churchill Downs race number 3, it's the grade 3 Chaluki on Saturday. It's a 1 turn mile. We have some really nice Philan mayors in here, 3 year olds and up, and I thought, you know, on paper, we've got the 2, the, and the 6 and the 7, the two outside horses that'll probably take a lot of money and be the really big players. We start out with Impel, a horse who early on in her career had really high hopes for her. She wins a couple of races early. She goes into the grade 1 Ashland at Keenland. She's only 2. won in that race, and she just doesn't really progress from that point on. Honestly, she has some OK races since then. Uh, I think the one turn mile is probably a good spot for her because she's not a horse that wants to really pass horses all that much. Uh, and so she wants to really be close and kind of keep that same momentum going. What do you think about Impel's chances in here? Yeah, the one, the Milea Churchill is unique. It's one turn. There's a couple other tracks like that, Gulfstream, Aqueduct, Belmont, but um. A lot of 2 turn 1 miles, but she did win at the over this one turn out your 0.3 back. Otherwise, I'm with you. I thought there was a high hopes for this Philly to be one of the top Brad Cox, uh, younger, like 3 year old Phillies in his barn. Did it really pan out. I feel like they've been searching for her niche. Hard to knock a horse that's earned almost 600,000 and coming in with two wins, but I think she's going to be in a tough spot here down on the inside against this group. A more positive. Two starts back at Ellis Park, she defeated a horse named Riga who came back and won the grade 3 Delaware handicap and then finished 3rd in the Breeders' Cup Distaff. So that form actually has come back pretty well. We moved to the two shred the nar. She's a nice filly, Scott. She's run 3 times, she's almost undefeated. Her 2 wins came by 6 + and 7 lengths. She has good speed. She actually showed us she can sit off the pace a little bit, and this barn, uh, trainer Brian Lynch is proven with horses coming off of a long layoff. I think he's at 19% over the last 5 years in a really nice ROI if you're just betting his horses off the long layoff. So she seems like she might be the the speed in here, she looks like the quickest on paper. She has an unlimited upside basically and it doesn't take a genius to see that she lost by a neck and then two big wins. Now they did, you know, she did have things favorable in those races. She dominated in her last two, and she goes to the sidelines in the middle of the year right after, right before the Kentucky Derby was run and we haven't seen her since. But man, she's got upside. She should be on the lead by herself with not a lot of speed. So she's tough to really knock. It is interesting, the one turn mile. She might be more of a two turn type speed horse. We'll see. Um, she's gonna be a shorter price though than I'm really excited about. Litter 8 is a grade 3. who actually won on the Woodbine synthetic back in July. She hasn't been competitive though in her last couple of races, Scott. She does move into the Brad Cox barn. If you're making a list of like top 5 trainers in all of North America, he's on that list. And if you're making a list of top 5 riders in all of North America, Ira Ortiz Junior is on that list. So off of just connections alone, you probably take a second look at Literate, but I got to see a little bit more from, from him now moving to the dirt. Yeah, it feels like it's just a starting point for this new trainee for the Cox Barn. And, you know, Ira happens to ride for this barn. So it's not every time he's riding a live horse. Feel like you could get caught here. I mean, big price, 10 to 1, but she's gonna be way out of it. This feels like I said, like just kind of a prep to get her ready maybe for another spot. That's another point, right? She doesn't have a lot of really speed, and I don't know if they're gonna be flying early in this field. They're probably gonna all be pretty content with their positions. Runway Diva is great. 3 places, but just one for the last 9 does get Jose Ortiz, who's been very, very good over the last year or so in Kentucky. What do we do with this scout? Jose is the positive here, you know, this is a barn that doesn't have a lot of runners, but hasn't had a lot of success this year. I think maybe more of a grinder than that one turn mile horse type horse. We got a little combination of sprint and stamina. So I'm not really all that in a runaway diva, but I'm not giving away much. She's the biggest. on the board. Zadorski is the next one, Scott. She was 4th in her most recent race. The problem is she was well behind the winner, who was one magic Philly, who's drawn right to her outside. So she's gonna have to improve 7 lengths on that one. Some of the positives for Zadorski, she does have a couple of wins at Churchill Downs. Um, distance shouldn't be a problem for her. I think the one turn mile should be fine. I just don't know if she's gonna get the trip, and I don't know if she's quite as good as the top 3 in here. Yeah, I think it's a reach to get to any of the non top 3 in here on top. I prefer Zadorsky of the 3 long shots only because of the distance. Uh, I think in the track, I think she likes it here. Um, obviously you see her with some success over an off track, but the 3 long shots are all up against it. One magic Philly is the 6. She's had an interesting career. She got really good last year in 2024. She won a few races in a row leading into the Breeders' Cup Philly in May's sprint. Then she tailed off a little bit, but she was facing some really good horses along the way. This was a bounce back performance for her, and this was her first start in the Brendan Walsh barn. Shout out to Brendan Walsh, took a picture with him and Frank Miramati at the Breeders' Cup. Always bet Brendan in Kentucky. That's the Rule here, one magic Philly should sit a pretty good trip in this one, Scott. Should definitely should stop just off of Shred the Nar. This is a Philly that I think is going to get the run of the race and is in maybe it's not the best form, one of the best forms coming in. I like her if she's gonna be 3 to 1. Ragtime rounds out the field. She'll add the blinkers. She's classy. I mean, in her 5 races, she's won 3 of them, and a 2nd and a 3rd. In her last 2 starts though, she's gotten a little farther back than, you know, she had earlier in her career, Scott. She's gonna add the blinkers, which helped her in her first couple of races, but now you're blinkers on, blinkers off, you're coming back on now. Um, I respect her ability. I think she's, you know, very likely winner of this race, but I prefer the horses who have a little bit more speed, like one magic Philly to maybe get the jump on her. Here she is coming late on the scene. Yeah, I'm gonna hope she comes too late on the scene once again in here as well. Don't see the race setting up for her. Maybe the blinkers will be the uh equalizer for her to get her more into the race. I see it maybe more as a negative, not really what I probably wanted to do ultimately.

Grade Three Chilukki Stakes Preview at Churchill Downs

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