Jacobe Smith vs. Randy Brown: UFC Fight Betting Preview

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Jacoby Smith Faces Veteran Test Against Randy Brown

Undefeated Jacoby Smith enters the co-main event with a 13-0 record, including a 4-0 run in the UFC and a victory on the contender series. The 30-year-old is a -280 favorite against veteran Randy Brown.

Smith has shown power and wrestling, but his UFC opponents to this point, including Bruce Whitehead and Josiah Harrell, have not had sustained runs in the promotion. Brown represents the toughest opponent Smith has faced.

Brown is a tall, long fighter for the division who has been around for a long time and faced many strong opponents. He has delivered wins in unexpected spots, though his performances have also been inconsistent. He brings power and cardio, which could test Smith if the fight moves beyond the early rounds.

Smith has produced several early finishes, raising questions about whether he might fade if he cannot stop Brown quickly. However, he has previously competed in three-round fights on the regional scene and appears to have the cardio to handle an extended contest.

Smith’s over 1.5 takedowns at +130 stands out as a potential play. Brown has been pushed against the cage by fighters who are not strong grapplers, and Smith should have opportunities to secure at least two takedowns, even if it takes two or three rounds.

The fight total is set at 1.5 rounds. Brown will likely want to frustrate Smith, withstand his early offense and take the fight into deeper waters. While Smith is explosive enough to hurt him, Brown has the length, size and overall game to extend the matchup.

Smith is the preferred side, but his money line is considered too wide. The over 1.5 rounds also appears solid, while Smith’s over 1.5 takedowns at +130 is viewed as the safest bet in the fight.