Name: Carter Jensen: Underrated Power with Value in the ROTY Odds
Uploaded: 2025-11-18T16:03:52-05:00
Duration: 4 min 42 s
Description: Carter Jensen has excelled in Kansas City, boasting stellar plate discipline and a notable 55% hard-hit rate. He also adds tremendous defense behind the plate.

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Carter Jensen has excelled in Kansas City, boasting stellar plate discipline and a notable 55% hard-hit rate. He also adds tremendous defense behind the plate.

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Carter Jensen: Underrated Power with Value in the ROTY Odds

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Next up on the list, and I saw the opening rookie of the Year odds on bet MGM and Carter Jensen is not getting enough respect. This guy pillages baseball. When we were in Atlanta, watching the Futures game, watching this guy hit batting practice. He was hitting the ball as far and as loud as any player there, but he doesn't have the same stature, and Royals fans, they're used to 40 home runs from Salvador Perez at their catching position, and while he might not be 40 home runs, he certainly has the power to do so, but it seems like there's some good plate discipline here with Carter Jensen as well. And that was, that was the big wrinkle. Uh, I think that's really progressed nicely with him, and I'm, you know, glad you mentioned that cause it's There was, there was swing and miss concern, and the strikeouts concern in general, and I think you saw that the plate discipline improved drastically, especially against spin this year, where he was just rarely chasing against spin and, and usually quality spin. I think it was like a 15% chase rate against breaking balls. Then on top of that, you see him hammering heaters, uh, as well as ever. You see the exit velocities climb to to the highest mark we've seen between his big league debut and his uh his minor league season this year, Jensen had a 55% hard hit rate, which, you know, is. I think what, 20% above average, so that part of it was amazing, started to elevate the ball more consistently, you mentioned just the BP laser show that he puts on, and now just converting that into game power more. I've, I I I always had some questions about the defense, and now, you know, I, I think there's still some questions about how impactful of a defender, he's gonna be behind the dish. But you know that he's gonna be a guy that can get by at least behind the ditch and be, I think, pretty close to average, which is fine. And he's 22 in athletics, so there's room for more. But at least it looks like someone that you, you don't have to worry about moving off the position there. And then you started to see that power really start to shine through at the big league level though. He had a home run 113 MPH, 480 ft, uh, I think in Sacramento, uh, you start. To see a lot of 110 plus EVs, uh, and, and he started to hit lefties better as well. So if Jensen has all those things going for him, I think, as you alluded to, he's one of the dark horses for Rookie of the Year. I think it's some of the, as I've always said with him, some of the most underrated raw power in baseball. It's 70 grade raw power just about. And now that the other complementary skills are all coming along really well. And it's funny, we look at guys like Nolan McLean or Trey Savage, and their cup of coffee in Major League Baseball was fantastic. Carter Jensen had the same, it's just the Royals were not in playoff contention. He put up a 159 WRC plus through his first 20-ish games for the Royals, meaning he was 59% better than a league average hitter. So if he Be a league average defender at catcher, we're looking at potentially one of the better young catchers in the game. And speaking about young catchers, Joe Mack, one of your favorite prospects in baseball, you've been talking about this guy for a long time. It was probably fun to see him continue to rise up this list, going from 48 to now 26 on the top 100 for the Miami Marlins. It was interesting because the timing of like His the last update, Mac was struggling a little bit in AAA. Then really was there was a focus on handling pitch shapes a little bit better, breaking balls were giving him some some challenges, and a little bit more of just the preparation and what goes into the swing decisions approach, and he sprinted through the finish line. Mack did in his final 30 games. In an 863 OPS and AAA, 8 homers in that span. And the thing with Mac is He, he might be the best defensive catcher that you've got in the upper minor leagues right now. So, I, I, I, there was one throw, I know you saw I put out on on Twitter towards the end of the season, where he like looked like he was about to throw to third, and then, I don't know if it was intentional or like a last second adjustment, and kind of threw flat-footed, like a almost like a shortstop straight across to. Second base, while his feet were taking him to 3rd, and it was right on the money. And I was like, I don't know if I've ever seen a catcher make a throw like that. And you had big leaguers, former catchers, quote, tweeting and saying, holy crap, I've never seen anybody do this. Uh, so, I think you look at that, the receiving, the way, the way he defends, he has a chance to be a 70 grade defender. The offensive barrier at that point, if you're that Good of a defensive catcher to be 3 + 4 guys. It's very low. We look at Patrick Bailey and other guys like that. But Mac has above average to plus power. So yes, I have some concern that the hit tool is going to be below average, but even if he's a 30 grade hitter, if he's walking and he's hit 20 to 25 home runs with 70 grade defense, that's a catcher that can put up 4 more seasons.

Carter Jensen: Underrated Power with Value in the ROTY Odds

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