NCAAB · 7 months ago

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch Daily: 16 Teams On and Around the Bubble on Selection Sunday

Grant White

Host · Writer

Next Four Out: Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Record: 21-11 (13-8)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 68 | KenPom: 77

A late-season slump has cast doubt on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons' chances of making the NCAA Tournament. Wake Forest has dropped three of five, with two losses coming versus sub-.500 teams. Additionally, they've fared poorly against top competitors, going 2-6 versus Quad 1 foes. An earlier-than-expected exit from the ACC Tournament cost them their chance of making the big dance.

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Last Four Byes: Oklahoma Sooners
Record: 20-12 (7-12)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 50 | KenPom: 48

Like the other SEC teams ahead of them, the Oklahoma Sooners have been challenged by one of the deepest conferences in recent memory. But monumental wins as underdogs in their last two games of the regular season will be the Sooners' saving grace. Oklahoma knocked off the Missouri Tigers and Texas Longhorns, which should be enough to earn them a tournament berth. Even after an earlier-than-expected exit from the SEC Tournament.

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Last Four Byes: VCU Rams
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Record: 25-6 (15-3)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 32 | KenPom: 29

Once again, the VCU Rams were the most dominant team in the A10 this season, but they aren't as invincible as they've seemed in years past. As a result, the possibility exists that they might not earn the secured berth by winning the conference tournament. Assuredly, winning the A10 on Sunday would send the Rams further up the rankings.

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Last Four Byes: Georgia Bulldogs
Record: 20-12 (8-10)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 34 | KenPom: 33

As expected, the Georgia Bulldogs continued their run of ineffective play outside of their friendly confines. Georgia dropped their first-round matchup to the Oklahoma Sooners in the SEC Tournament. While they have an unflattering 4-11 record versus Quad 1 teams, the Bulldogs have a few signature wins under their belt. With Texas and UNC coming up short, Georgia should still be one of the final four teams in the bracket.

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Last Four Byes: Vanderbilt Commodores
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Record: 20-12 (8-11)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 43 | KenPom: 45

A late-season slide has pushed the Vanderbilt Commodores to the far reaches of the bubble, albeit still on the tournament side. Vandy dropped three straight and six of its last nine, falling surreptitiously to one of the final four byes. Still, the Commodores have done enough to earn a seat.

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Last Four In: West Virginia Mountaineers
Record: 19-13 (10-10)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 51 | KenPom: 54

An early exit from the Big 12 Tournament was the last thing the West Virginia Mountaineers needed. On Wednesday, the Mountaineers were ousted by the Colorado Buffaloes, putting their tournament hopes on life support. West Virginia is on the right side of the bubble and should earn one of the final few berths.

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Last Four In: Texas Longhorns
Record: 19-14 (8-12)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 39 | KenPom: 41

The Texas Longhorns pulled off one of the most unexpected upsets on Thursday, stunning the 14th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies in the SEC Tournament. Texas entered the contest as +5.5 underdogs, but built themselves an early lead against the Aggies. While the Longhorns relinquished the lead in the second half, they were able to storm back in overtime to secure the win. In doing so, they have done enough to earn one of the 68 spots up for grabs.

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Last Four In: Arkansas Razorbacks
Record: 20-13 (9-11)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 47 | KenPom: 39

Despite their best efforts, the Arkansas Razorbacks were dealt a three-point loss to the Ole Miss Rebels in Thursday's SEC Tournament action. While the Razorbacks came up short in their second-half comeback, they likely still have a tournament-worthy resume. But if any of the teams beneath them extend their tournament runs, Arkansas could be one of the first teams to be dropped from the tournament field.
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Last Four In: Colorado State Rams
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Record: 22-9 (16-4)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 54 | KenPom: 50

The Colorado State Rams closed the regular season on a seven-game winning streak with convincing victories over the Utah State Aggies and Boise State Broncos. Still, they appeared to be on the outside looking in ahead of the Mountain West Championship Game. A convincing win over the Broncos assured the Rams of extending their season into the NCAA Tournament.

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First Four Out: North Carolina Tar Heels
Record: 22-12 (15-7)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 45 | KenPom: 42

The North Carolina Tar Heels erased one of the most significant deficits of the year. UNC was trailing by 21 at the half versus the Duke Blue Devils in Friday's ACC semifinal. A monumental second-half moved them to within one point of Duke in the waning moments. However, a missed free throw and lane violation cost them a chance at the lead. While some view this as sufficient to be included, we think the Tar Heels will still be on the wrong side of the bubble on Selection Sunday.

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First Four Out: Boise State Broncos
Record: 22-9 (14-6)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 46 | KenPom: 44

After a tough loss to end the regular season, the Boise State Broncos kept their tournament hopes alive with a triumph over the San Diego State Aztecs in the Mountain West Tournament. They kept that train rolling with a win over the New Mexico Lobos in the Mountain West semis. However, a stunning loss to the Colorado State Rams in the MWC Championship as -1.5 favorites has relegated Boise State to one of the first four out.

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First Four Out: George Mason Patriots
Record: 25-7 (15-3)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 74 | KenPom: 80

Don't look now, but the George Mason Patriots are making a convincing case that they should be included in the field of 68. The Patriots mounted an unforgiving comeback in the A10 quarters, erasing a four-point first-half deficit and winning by 15. Granted, they don't have a robust enough resume to be included yet. With just one win versus four Quad 1 opponents, George Mason's only chance of making the tournament comes via an A10 title. They enter Sunday's tilt as +7.5 underdogs, needing a win to survive.

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First Four Out: Indiana Hoosiers
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Record: 19-13 (10-11)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 56 | KenPom: 52

A late-season resurgence appeared to salvage the Indiana Hoosiers' tournament hopes. Then, they suffered a convincing defeat against the Oregon Ducks in the Big Ten Tournament. In doing so, the Hoosiers have positioned themselves on the outside of the bracket looking in. Unless some truly bizarre outcomes occur over the weekend, Indiana is one of the first four out.

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Next Four Out: Xavier Musketeers
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Record: 21-11 (13-8)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 52 | KenPom: 54

It's been a rollercoaster of emotions for the Xavier Musketeers, but unfortunately, they appear to be ending the season on a low. Xavier lost on Thursday, falling to the Marquette Golden Eagles 89-87. Consequently, they've been usurped by other teams that have continued their conference tournament pursuits. A play-in game is a bridge too far for the Musketeers.

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Next Four Out: Ohio State Buckeyes
Record: 17-15 (9-12)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 33 | KenPom: 32

The unceremonious end to the Ohio State Buckeyes season has all but doomed them to the NIT. Ohio State dropped its regular season finale, following up with a disastrous first-round exit from the Big Ten Tournament versus the Iowa Hawkeyes. Put your party dresses away Buckeyes fans; this season slipped away.

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Next Four Out: Dayton Flyers
Record: 22-9 (12-6)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 67 | KenPom: 74

By virtue of their regular season finale triumph over the VCU Rams, the Dayton Flyers have forced their way into the tournament conversation. Dayton closed the campaign with a 12-6 record in the A10 and a tournament-worthy 3-3 record versus Quad 1 teams. An overtime loss to St. Joe's in the A10 quarterfinals was the final nail in the Flyers' coffin.

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Next Four Out: Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Record: 21-11 (13-8)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 68 | KenPom: 77

A late-season slump has cast doubt on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons' chances of making the NCAA Tournament. Wake Forest has dropped three of five, with two losses coming versus sub-.500 teams. Additionally, they've fared poorly against top competitors, going 2-6 versus Quad 1 foes. An earlier-than-expected exit from the ACC Tournament cost them their chance of making the big dance.

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Last Four Byes: Oklahoma Sooners
Record: 20-12 (7-12)

AP Poll: N/R | Coaches Poll: N/R
NET Ranking: 50 | KenPom: 48

Like the other SEC teams ahead of them, the Oklahoma Sooners have been challenged by one of the deepest conferences in recent memory. But monumental wins as underdogs in their last two games of the regular season will be the Sooners' saving grace. Oklahoma knocked off the Missouri Tigers and Texas Longhorns, which should be enough to earn them a tournament berth. Even after an earlier-than-expected exit from the SEC Tournament.

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NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch Daily: 16 Teams On and Around the Bubble on Selection Sunday

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