2026 NFL Draft Odds: Kalshi Ranks Top 15 Players for No. 1 Slot

It’s never too early to start thinking about the NFL Draft. We dive into Kalshi’s market probabilities to see who could hear their name called first next April.

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1. Diego Pavia, QB, Vanderbilt

Class: Graduate | Age: 24

Kalshi Market Probability: 36%

2. Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana

Class: Redshirt Junior | Age: 22

Kalshi Market Probability: 23%

3. LaNorris Sellers, QB, South Carolina 

Class: Redshirt Sophomore | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 15%

T4. Drew Allar, QB, Penn State

Class: Senior | Age: 21

Kalshi Market Probability: 10%

T4. Cade Klubnik, QB, Clemson

Class: Senior | Age: 21

Kalshi Market Probability: 10%

T4. Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama

Class: Junior | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 10%

T4. John Mateer, QB, Oklahoma

Class: Redshirt Junior | Age: 21

Kalshi Market Probability: 10%

8. Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU

Class: Redshirt Senior | Age: 23

Kalshi Market Probability: 8%

9. Carson Beck, QB, Miami

Class: Redshirt Senior | Age: 22

Kalshi Market Probability: 7%

10. T.J. Parker, DE, Clemson

Class: Junior | Age: 21

Kalshi Market Probability: 5%

T11. Sam Leavitt, QB, Arizona State

Class: Redshirt Sophomore | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 4%

T11. Miller Moss, QB, Louisville

Class: Redshirt Senior | Age: 23

Kalshi Market Probability: 4%

T11. Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State

Class: Junior | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 4%

T11. Raylen Wilson, LB, Georgia

Class: Junior | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 4%

15. Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami

Class: Junior | Age: 20

Kalshi Market Probability: 3%

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