NFL · 7 months ago

Bills AFC Championship Game Top 5 Player Props | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

Zack Cook

Host · Writer

Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown (-105)
Josh Allen has been a game-changer for the Buffalo Bills whenever they square off against the Kansas City Chiefs. Fresh off a two-touchdown performance on the ground against the Ravens last week, Allen has already shown he can find the endzone against the Chiefs this season. Last year, he racked up three touchdowns in two matchups with Kansas City. While the odds might be a bit high, it’s tough not to feel confident about the Bills' superstar quarterback making another trip to the endzone this Sunday.

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Dalton Kincaid OVER 3.5 Receptions (+108)
Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Here's a play with a ton of value to kick this off. Dalton Kincaid hasn't taken the step many thought he would in the passing game this year for the Buffalo Bills. Still, you can find consistency in his usage during the two matchups he's played against the Kansas City Chiefs in his career. In those contests, Kincaid caught five passes in each game and was targeted 13 total times. The Bills clearly believe there's a matchup they can exploit by utilizing Kincaid, and I expect that to continue here. The plus-money price tag is just a bonus.

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -122 | Bills +104 | Total: 48.5
James Cook OVER 55.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
AFC Championship Game ATD: Chiefs | Bills

One of the biggest keys to the Buffalo Bills' success in this matchup is getting James Cook going early. Cook has taken his game to another level this season for the Bills, and he'll need to find another gear against this very strong Chiefs defense. Cook has gone over the number in two of his last three meetings with the Chiefs and has also surpassed it in both postseason games this year for the Bills.
Josh Allen UNDER 230.5 Passing Yards (-114)
If the Bills want to advance to the Super Bowl, it will likely come on the back of their rushing attack. Josh Allen can win this game with his arm, but the better direction for the Bills to find success and dominate the clock is via his legs and the Bills running game. If Allen has to throw on Sunday, he will, but there's real value in that number falling under the total, much like it did in last year's postseason clash with the Chiefs.

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Khalil Shakir OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Khalil Shakir has brought a big level of consistency to the Bills wide receiver core this season in an expanded role. Shakir is coming off back-to-back postseason performances with 60 or more receiving yards and has a prop set at 57.5 on Sunday. Earlier this year, we saw Shakir catch eight passes on 12 targets for 70 yards. All signs point to Shakir playing a big role in the Bills passing game plan in the AFC Championship Game.

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Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown (-105)
Josh Allen has been a game-changer for the Buffalo Bills whenever they square off against the Kansas City Chiefs. Fresh off a two-touchdown performance on the ground against the Ravens last week, Allen has already shown he can find the endzone against the Chiefs this season. Last year, he racked up three touchdowns in two matchups with Kansas City. While the odds might be a bit high, it’s tough not to feel confident about the Bills' superstar quarterback making another trip to the endzone this Sunday.

March down the field with SportsGrid’s FREE Top NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks weekly!
Dalton Kincaid OVER 3.5 Receptions (+108)
Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

Here's a play with a ton of value to kick this off. Dalton Kincaid hasn't taken the step many thought he would in the passing game this year for the Buffalo Bills. Still, you can find consistency in his usage during the two matchups he's played against the Kansas City Chiefs in his career. In those contests, Kincaid caught five passes in each game and was targeted 13 total times. The Bills clearly believe there's a matchup they can exploit by utilizing Kincaid, and I expect that to continue here. The plus-money price tag is just a bonus.

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -122 | Bills +104 | Total: 48.5