Broncos Hamper Garret Wilson’s Fantasy Outlook in Week 4

As the New York Jets prepare to face the Denver Broncos, there’s a lot on the line for both teams. The Jets, off to a rocky start, need a win to stabilize their season, but Denver will present challenges, particularly with cornerback Patrick Surtain looming over the Jets’ primary receiver, Garrett Wilson. For bettors, this matchup presents several opportunities, from player props to game spreads. Let’s take a closer look at the key elements of the game from the Jets’ perspective and break down the best betting options.

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Garrett Wilson vs. Patrick Surtain: A Tough Matchup

Garrett Wilson, the Jets’ top receiver, has had a slow start to the season, ranking outside the top 30 in fantasy points among wide receivers. This week, he faces one of the NFL’s toughest shutdown corners in Patrick Surtain, which likely means a limited ceiling for Wilson in both real-life production and fantasy output.

With Surtain shadowing Wilson, consider betting on Garrett Wilson under receiving yards for this game. Surtain has effectively neutralized elite receivers like DK Metcalf, George Pickens, and Mike Evans this season, and Wilson will likely be the next name on that list.

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Jets’ Offense: Will Breece Hall and Allen Lazard Step Up?

With Wilson expected to struggle, the Jets will need to generate offense elsewhere. This could mean increased usage of Breece Hall and Allen Lazard. The Jets will likely lean on the run game, and Hall should see a significant number of touches as the Jets aim to control the clock and wear down the Denver defense.

Breece Hall over rushing yards is a good prop to target. The Broncos have had trouble stopping the run, and Hall is likely to be the focal point of the Jets’ game plan. For passing plays, Allen Lazard anytime touchdown scorer is another intriguing bet, as Lazard could see more targets if Wilson is effectively shut down.

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Jets vs. Broncos: Betting the Spread

The Jets and Broncos are two teams still trying to find consistency, and both come into this game looking for a much-needed win. The point spread is tilted in New York’s favor, but the Jets’ defense, combined with the potential for a ground-and-pound offense, gives them a slight edge in this contest.

The Jets are hefty favorites in this matchup, and betting on Jets -8 could be a smart play. The Jets’ defense, which has been solid at times this season, should be able to limit Denver’s offense, putting the game out of reach. Additionally, the total points line is relatively low, which suggests a defensive battle. Betting on the under (40.5 points) might also provide value if you expect both teams to struggle to find the end zone.

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Fantasy Football Implications: Expect a Down Week from Garrett Wilson

Fantasy football managers who roster Garrett Wilson should temper their expectations for this game. With Surtain locking down Wilson, the Jets may struggle to get him involved in the passing game. However, this could open up opportunities for other Jets skill players to shine.

For fantasy and DFS players, Breece Hall and Allen Lazard are better value plays this week. Additionally, it may be worth considering Garrett Wilson’s under for receptions and receiving yards, as he is likely to be held in check by one of the league’s best corners.

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Conclusion: Jets Need to Control the Ground Game to Win

For the Jets, this game will come down to their ability to run the ball and play solid defense. With Patrick Surtain expected to neutralize Garrett Wilson, the Jets will have to rely on Breece Hall and Allen Lazard to move the ball effectively. Bettors should focus on player props for Hall, as well as look for opportunities to bet on the Jets’ defense to keep this game close.

Top Betting Picks:

• Garrett Wilson under receiving yards
• Breece Hall over rushing yards
• Allen Lazard anytime touchdown scorer
• Jets -8 to cover the spread
• Total points under 40.5

The Jets will need a strong defensive performance and a consistent run game to beat the Broncos, and this matchup offers plenty of value for bettors looking to cash in on the action.

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