Can the Chiefs Pull Off the Upset Over the 49ers in Week 7?

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to face the San Francisco 49ers in a much-anticipated Super Bowl LVIII rematch. As the favorites in the AFC go head-to-head with the favorites in the NFC, this game has the potential to be a preview of what’s to come later this season. With a spread of 1.5 to 2 points and a total set at 47.5, this game is expected to be a close battle between two elite teams. Let’s break down this game from a betting perspective, with a focus on the Chiefs and their keys to victory.

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Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Patrick Mahomes Must Find a Way

The Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and head coach Andy Reid, are known for their high-powered offense. However, this season has been a rollercoaster, with Mahomes showing flashes of brilliance while also struggling with consistency. Coming off a 331-yard performance with no touchdowns and an interception, Mahomes will need to rely on his legs and his ability to make big plays through the air to keep up with the 49ers’ defense.

While the Chiefs are slight underdogs, Patrick Mahomes’ ability to make key plays keeps them competitive. Consider betting on Mahomes to go over his passing yards prop, as he will need to throw often to keep Kansas City in the game. Additionally, with San Francisco’s strong pass rush, betting on Mahomes to rush for more than his typical yardage could offer value.

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Offensive Line Concerns: Can the Chiefs Keep Mahomes Upright?

One of the key storylines in this matchup is the Chiefs’ offensive line, particularly their tackles, and their ability to protect Mahomes. San Francisco has one of the best pass rushes in the NFL, led by Nick Bosa. The Chiefs’ offensive line will need to hold up if they want to give Mahomes time to find his targets. If they struggle, it could lead to Mahomes scrambling and using his legs more than usual.

Given San Francisco’s pass rush and the potential for pressure on Mahomes, consider betting on Mahomes to go over his rushing yards prop. He has shown that he can extend plays with his legs, and this could be a game where he’s forced to do so. Additionally, the Chiefs’ offensive struggles may lead to a lower-scoring game, so consider betting the under on the game’s total points.

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Kansas City’s Receiving Corps: Time for Young Stars to Step Up

The Chiefs’ wide receiver corps has not lived up to expectations this season. With JuJu Smith-Schuster banged up and Travis Kelce not at full strength, Kansas City has relied more heavily on rookie Xavier Worthy. This game presents an opportunity for Worthy to emerge as a key contributor, especially against a 49ers defense that has shown it can be vulnerable in the secondary.

Keep an eye on player props for Xavier Worthy. The rookie wide receiver has the speed to stretch the field and could be the beneficiary of Mahomes’ deep throws. Betting on him to score a touchdown or hit his receiving yards over might provide good value in this matchup.

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Chiefs’ Defense: Can They Contain the 49ers?

The Chiefs’ defense has been a strength this season, particularly in critical moments. Led by Chris Jones and Nick Bolton, Kansas City’s defense will need to be at its best to slow down San Francisco’s balanced offense. While the 49ers have playmakers in Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle, the Chiefs have the talent to disrupt their rhythm, especially with Andy Reid’s game-planning off a bye week.

The Chiefs’ defense has been reliable, especially against strong offenses. Betting on the under for total points is worth considering, as Kansas City’s defense could limit the 49ers’ offensive production. Additionally, player props on defensive players like Chris Jones for sacks could be a smart play, given the Chiefs’ ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks.

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Betting on the Chiefs: Trust in Mahomes and Reid

One thing bettors should not overlook is the Chiefs’ ability to perform in big games, especially coming off a bye. Andy Reid has an outstanding record when given extra time to prepare, and Patrick Mahomes has consistently found ways to win critical matchups, even when facing adversity. Despite the challenges, Kansas City’s experience in close, high-pressure games gives them an edge that bettors should not ignore.

With the Chiefs as slight underdogs (+115 on the moneyline), betting on Kansas City to pull off the upset could offer value. The combination of Reid’s game-planning and Mahomes’ playmaking ability makes the Chiefs a dangerous team, even against a formidable opponent like San Francisco. Additionally, look for live betting opportunities, as Kansas City often thrives in second-half adjustments.

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Conclusion: Chiefs Betting Takeaways

The Kansas City Chiefs face a tough challenge against the San Francisco 49ers in what could be a Super Bowl preview. While the Chiefs’ offense has struggled with consistency, Patrick Mahomes’ ability to make plays and Andy Reid’s brilliance after a bye make them a dangerous underdog. Bettors should consider backing Mahomes to exceed his passing and rushing props, betting the under on total points due to strong defensive matchups, and possibly betting on the Chiefs to pull off the upset.

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