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NFL · 1 year ago

Eagles Top 10 Player Props | Super Bowl LIX Picks Today, Best Bets

Grant White

Host · Writer

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DeVonta Smith Super Bowl MVP +6500
You may have inferred from some of our other selections that we like DeVonta Smith to step up in the Super Bowl. If he's as productive as we think he will be, Smith is an ideal longshot candidate to take home this year's Super Bowl MVP award.

Smith has delivered when called upon in the playoffs. The Eagles wide receiver has broken off big plays in six of his last eight games and hasn't dropped a pass since Week 17. Across the eight-game sample, Smith has posted an All-Pro-worthy 84.3% catch rate while going off for 11.4 yards per reception.

This is a calculated risk but one worth taking. The Eagles need their best players to step up against the Chiefs, and Smith will have time and space to move. His odds of claiming the Super Bowl MVP are better than the betting odds imply.

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Jalen Hurts 225+ Passing Yards +122
Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

A couple of late-season injuries have hampered Jalen Hurts's production. With an extra week to recover, we expect Hurts to be at his best in Super Bowl LIX versus the Kansas City Chiefs.

First, a concussion kept Hurts out of the final few regular-season games. Subsequently, he injured his left knee in the Philadelphia Eagles' Divisional Round win over the Los Angeles Rams. Despite the ailments, Hurts has been incredibly efficient in the playoffs. The two-time Pro Bowler has completed 69.6% of his passes and is coming off a 246-yard effort in the NFC Championship Game.

Hurts has an attainable 211.5 passing-yard prop versus the Chiefs. However, we like his chances of eclipsing that total by a wide margin. As a result, we're backing him to record 225 passing yards or more at a tantalizing price of +122.
DeVonta Smith 60+ Receiving Yards +146
Of course, for Jalen Hurts to eclipse his passing yard prop, he'll need to maximize production out of his wide receivers. We've seen what A.J. Brown has to offer, but we expect a stronger showing from DeVonta Smith on Sunday.

Arguably, Smith has been the Eagles' most reliable pass-catcher this postseason. The Alabama product has hauled in all 12 passes thrown his way, albeit with a more modest 121 receiving yards. Nevertheless, he's poised to set a new high against the Chiefs.

Smith hasn't recorded more than 55 yards in a game since Week 17, but his increased proficiency lends itself to a breakout performance. With that, we're making a value play and backing Smith to record 60 or more yards against the Chiefs.

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -120 | Eagles +102 | Total: 48.5
DeVonta Smith 5+ Receptions +102
Our third pick is a correlated angle. For DeVonta Smith to achieve his loftier receiving total, he must increase his volume marginally. Thankfully, there are a few factors supporting his renewed success.

First, Smith is operating below his usual workload. As noted, he's averaging 4.0 targets per game in the postseason, a substantial deviation from his regular season average of 6.8. Additionally, the Chiefs' secondary has struggled to contain secondary pass-catchers. Last week, Mack Hollins had a day, hauling in three passes for 73 yards. In the Divisional Round, Xavier Hutchinson put forth a more robust effort.

Smith should emerge as a more regular target at the Caesar's Superdome. Correlated approaches typically result in an all-or-nothing result, but we like Smith's ceiling in the Super Bowl.

Tackle the Odds with SportsGrid’s Expert NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks.
Jalen Hurts More Pass Attempts Than Patrick Mahomes +300
Neither team has aired it out with much frequency in the postseason. But these odds have been entirely out of proportion. Jalen Hurts is listed as a steep +300 underdog to record more pass attempts than Patrick Mahomes.

From a game script perspective, Hurts is the logical choice to record more pass attempts. The Eagles enter the contest as underdogs against a battle-tested Chiefs squad. If they're playing from behind, as the betting line implies, Philadelphia will be forced to air it out more frequently to keep pace.

There's more objective information supporting this position. Through his last two starts, Mahomes has just 51 pass attempts. Kansas City is playing at a more deliberate pace and with a more run-focused approach. Consequently, Hurts looks like a promising underdog to record the most passes.

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Eagles Over 2.5 Sacks +132
5 Things We Learned About the Eagles in the NFC Championship

It's not technically a player prop, but here's another plus-money offering that isn't worth passing up. The Eagles' defensive front has been one of the best at pressuring opposing quarterbacks. Given the Chiefs' offensive line concerns, we should see Philadelphia record more than 2.5 sacks.

Patrick Mahomes has been sacked five times this postseason. But he's been prone to getting hit throughout the campaign. There was a ten-game stretch in the middle of the season in which Mahomes was sacked 31 times. That average aligns with the Eagles' current pace, averaging 3.3 sacks per game in the playoffs.

Mahomes has been less elusive on the ground this season, playing into one of the Eagles' defensive strengths. We're planting the SportsGrid flag in Philadelphia, going over 2.5 sacks.
Zack Baun to Record More Tackles+Assists Than Nick Bolton -205
There has been no slowing down Zack Baun this season. The Eagles linebacker broke out in 2024, earning his first All-Pro nod while leading the team in several defensive categories. Baun has stepped up his production in the playoffs, and we're betting he records more tackles and assists than the Chiefs' Nick Bolton.

Baun is coming off a monstrous 12-tackle performance in the NFC Championship Game. That effort bumped his postseason total up to 26 tackles. Bolton has been less impactful, tallying just 11 in two games.

The betting price reflects Baun's presumed dominance, but we still like his chances of recording more tackles than Bolton in Super Bowl LIX.

Blitz the Books with SportsGrid's 4- & 5-star NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Bets.
DeVonta Smith to Record 1+ Rushing Yard +1400
How the Eagles Will Beat the Chiefs: 10 Keys to a Super Bowl Victory

Jet sweeps have become more common in modern play-calling. We're counting on the Eagles turning to DeVonta Smith at least once in the ground game, with the Eagles wide receiver recording at least one rushing yard.

Granted, Smith only has one rush attempt on the season. However, Philadelphia has turned to its wide receivers occasionally this season and isn't shy about running trick plays in a big game. Three wide receivers have toted the ball this season, churning out 20 yards on four carries.

The Eagles must get creative with their run game to create space for Saquon Barkley to exploit. Getting Smith out on a jet sweep is the type of creative play-calling that could help the Eagles pull off the upset.
Grant Calcaterra to Record 1+ Receiving Yard +142
Grant Calcaterra filled in admirably when Dallas Goedert was on the shelf. While his production has tanked with Goedert back in the lineup, Calcaterra should be deployed on more routes against Kansas City.

The Eagles backup tight end is still seeing plenty of offensive snaps. Calcaterra has played 85 snaps in three playoff games, accounting for 44.0% of the Eagles' plays. Still, he's only been targeted once over that stretch.

Both Buffalo Bills' tight ends caught passes in the AFC Championship. As did the Houston Texans' tight ends the previous week. We're betting on that trend continuing one more week, with Grant Calcaterra gaining at least one receiving yard in the big game.

March down the field with SportsGrid’s FREE Top NFL Game Picks and NFL Player Prop Picks weekly!
Jalen Hurts Longest Pass Over 32.5 Yards -114
Super Bowl LIX: Chiefs vs Eagles Position-by-Position Offensive Breakdown

At first glance, this Jalen Hurts prop might seem out of reach. However, we've seen some concerning efforts from the Chiefs' defense that make the over on Hurts's longest pass an attractive wager.

Kansas City has been prone to giving up big plays through the air. Opponents have thrown passes over 32.5 yards in four straight games versus the Chiefs. So far in the playoffs, Mack Hollins reached that benchmark in the Championship Round, and Nico Collins hit in the Divisional Round.

Conceivably, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are prime targets to eclipse this total. But Dallas Goedert, Jahan Dotson, and even Saquon Barkley are candidates to push Hurts over that mark. Whoever it is, we're betting Hurts's longest pass is greater than 32.5 yards.
DeVonta Smith Super Bowl MVP +6500
You may have inferred from some of our other selections that we like DeVonta Smith to step up in the Super Bowl. If he's as productive as we think he will be, Smith is an ideal longshot candidate to take home this year's Super Bowl MVP award.

Smith has delivered when called upon in the playoffs. The Eagles wide receiver has broken off big plays in six of his last eight games and hasn't dropped a pass since Week 17. Across the eight-game sample, Smith has posted an All-Pro-worthy 84.3% catch rate while going off for 11.4 yards per reception.

This is a calculated risk but one worth taking. The Eagles need their best players to step up against the Chiefs, and Smith will have time and space to move. His odds of claiming the Super Bowl MVP are better than the betting odds imply.

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGrid.
Jalen Hurts 225+ Passing Yards +122
Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

A couple of late-season injuries have hampered Jalen Hurts's production. With an extra week to recover, we expect Hurts to be at his best in Super Bowl LIX versus the Kansas City Chiefs.

First, a concussion kept Hurts out of the final few regular-season games. Subsequently, he injured his left knee in the Philadelphia Eagles' Divisional Round win over the Los Angeles Rams. Despite the ailments, Hurts has been incredibly efficient in the playoffs. The two-time Pro Bowler has completed 69.6% of his passes and is coming off a 246-yard effort in the NFC Championship Game.

Hurts has an attainable 211.5 passing-yard prop versus the Chiefs. However, we like his chances of eclipsing that total by a wide margin. As a result, we're backing him to record 225 passing yards or more at a tantalizing price of +122.

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undefined Game Odds

Mar 27 10:30 PM

SpreadMoneyTotal

BKN

BKN

+18.5

+1567

O 225.5

LAL

LAL

-18.5

-1900

U 225.5

Final

Pacers covered +9.5, U 235.5

LAC

LAC

114

IND

IND

113

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