NFL · 1 year ago

Jets-49ers MNF: 5 Favorite Anytime Touchdown Best Bets

Ben DiGiacomo

Host · Writer

Longshot: Jordan Mason (+700)
They are listing him officially as questionable on the injury report. CMC will play, but who is to say that the 49ers won't protect him in the first game of the season? Jordan Mason will get work tonight as the RB2 and definitely will be eating up garbage time touches should the 49ers have a comfortable fourth-quarter lead. At +700, I don't have enough trust in CMC's injury history to expect him to be a pure workhorse, giving a ton of value to Mason to find the endzone.
Breece Hall (+130) or Christian McCaffrey (-170)?
Come on, Christian McCaffrey is arguably the most reliable anytime touchdown bet in all of football, but maybe not tonight. At -170, it's hard to get behind him straight up, given the price, but more importantly, he comes into tonight banged up with a nagging calf injury. He'll still see a fair amount of touches tonight, but it's fair to expect the 49ers to be cautious with his usage, and it's unlikely that he'll eat up garbage touches as well, should this game become a blowout. On the other side, people are buying into the Breece Hall hype as one of the NFL's best running backs, and we're getting him at a favorable price at +130. I won't be running to place a touchdown wager on either of these guys, but if I had to choose, I'd take the value on Hall at +130. However, if you're confident that the 49ers will dominate, you can parlay a CMC TD with the 49ers to win at +110.
Deebo Samuel (+170)
Last season, we religiously backed Deebo Samuel to find the endzone countless times, and now we're getting an incredible price for him to cross the endzone at +170. Outside of CMC on the ground, Deebo is their No. 1 option in the red zone through the air, and he is also a threat to score on the ground. After combining for 12 touchdowns last season, we're all over him tonight at +170, making this our best bet of the night.
Garrett Wilson (+145)
We've been waiting to see what Garrett Wilson can do with high-quality quarterback play, and we'll get our first dose of it tonight. To beat the stout 49ers' defense, you have to beat them through the air on the outside, so we expect Wilson to potentially see double-digit targets. At +145, there is plenty of value in him finding the endzone.
George Kittle (+200)
The 49ers' offense is so condensed that it's hard to maximize touchdown value with their core four offensive weapons, but the most value will be on George Kittle at +200 tonight. Kittle was second on the team in red-zone targets last year behind Deebo, and while we would take Deebo at +170 over Kittle if we were making one bet, there is certainly value to be had on Kittle as well at +200.
Longshot: Allen Lazard (+600)
Garrett Wilson is the star of the show at the wide receiver position, but don't be too quick to forget that Aaron Rodgers has one of his buddies running routes for him in Allen Lazard. He's going to be the WR3 in this Jets' offense and someone that Rodgers trusts immensely, and we know Rodgers loves to pepper a ton of targets to those he's comfortable with. At +600, we're getting an incredible price that's too difficult to overlook.
Longshot: Jordan Mason (+700)
They are listing him officially as questionable on the injury report. CMC will play, but who is to say that the 49ers won't protect him in the first game of the season? Jordan Mason will get work tonight as the RB2 and definitely will be eating up garbage time touches should the 49ers have a comfortable fourth-quarter lead. At +700, I don't have enough trust in CMC's injury history to expect him to be a pure workhorse, giving a ton of value to Mason to find the endzone.
Breece Hall (+130) or Christian McCaffrey (-170)?
Come on, Christian McCaffrey is arguably the most reliable anytime touchdown bet in all of football, but maybe not tonight. At -170, it's hard to get behind him straight up, given the price, but more importantly, he comes into tonight banged up with a nagging calf injury. He'll still see a fair amount of touches tonight, but it's fair to expect the 49ers to be cautious with his usage, and it's unlikely that he'll eat up garbage touches as well, should this game become a blowout. On the other side, people are buying into the Breece Hall hype as one of the NFL's best running backs, and we're getting him at a favorable price at +130. I won't be running to place a touchdown wager on either of these guys, but if I had to choose, I'd take the value on Hall at +130. However, if you're confident that the 49ers will dominate, you can parlay a CMC TD with the 49ers to win at +110.