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NFL · 11 months ago

New Orleans Saints: Navigating the Impact of Derek Carr’s Absence

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

New Orleans Saints: Navigating the Impact of Derek Carr’s Absence

The New Orleans Saints are facing a challenging stretch with the extended absence of quarterback Derek Carr. As Carr recovers from his injury, the Saints’ offense will need to adapt, and that raises significant questions for players like Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave. Let’s dive into what this means for the team and, most importantly, how it impacts betting and fantasy football moving forward.

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How Does Derek Carr’s Absence Impact the Saints Offense?

Derek Carr’s absence leaves a noticeable void in the Saints’ offense, and the effects are being felt across the board. With Spencer Rattler stepping in under center, the efficiency and consistency of the offense are likely to take a hit. Players like Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave may still see volume, but the quality of their opportunities could decrease. This is especially concerning for a team that’s built on creating scoring chances for its stars.

Bettors should be cautious with the Saints’ offense in the coming weeks. While Kamara is a workhorse, his fantasy value may dip as the offense struggles to sustain drives. The Saints will likely lean on their defense and running game, but the absence of a stable quarterback may limit scoring opportunities.

Take the under on the Saints’ total points in upcoming games. With a backup quarterback and a less efficient offense, scoring could be at a premium.

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Alvin Kamara: Volume vs. Production

Alvin Kamara remains one of the most talented running backs in the league, but his production may suffer without Carr. Kamara has been used heavily since returning from suspension, but the Saints’ offensive struggles mean fewer red-zone trips and scoring chances. Despite this, Kamara’s high volume of touches keeps him relevant in both betting and fantasy circles.

However, with Kamara’s age and the potential for diminished offensive output, some bettors and fantasy managers may be tempted to sell high on him. Trading Kamara for a younger, more explosive back like Breece Hall could be a wise move in the long term.

Consider Kamara for fewer than 1.5 touchdowns in upcoming games, as the offense may struggle to create red-zone opportunities.

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Chris Olave: Is it Time to Move On?

Chris Olave entered the season with high expectations but has underperformed, especially in terms of touchdown production. Now, with the quarterback downgrade, his ceiling is even lower. Olave is currently WR36, and with Rattler under center, his value could drop further. Fantasy managers might want to consider moving Olave while his name value still carries weight.

From a betting perspective, Olave’s production is a concern. With inconsistent quarterback play, expect fewer explosive plays and limited scoring opportunities.

Take the under on Olave’s receiving yards for the next few weeks until the Saints stabilize their quarterback situation.

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The Saints’ Betting Outlook Moving Forward

With Derek Carr sidelined, the Saints are in a tough spot. Bettors should focus on the team’s defensive strengths and lower expectations for offensive production. The Saints will likely play conservative football, relying on their defense to keep games close while limiting turnovers on offense.

Bet on Saints games to hit the under more often, especially as the team leans on its defense to grind out wins.

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Conclusion: Proceed with Caution on Saints Players and Bets

The extended absence of Derek Carr is a significant blow to the New Orleans Saints. Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave will still see plenty of action, but the offensive struggles could limit their upside. For bettors, taking the under on Saints games and player props like Kamara and Olave makes sense until the quarterback situation improves.

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