NFL SGP: +1100 Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills
Ben DiGiacomo
Host · Writer
We have an entertaining Monday Night Football doubleheader tonight. It kicks off with a fun AFC matchup: the Buffalo Bills will host the Jacksonville Jaguars, prompting us to put together an ultimate same-game parlay for the action.
Valued at +1100, let’s ride!
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Leg 1: Jaguars +10.5
It hasn’t been pretty for the Jaguars in the slightest through two weeks as they’ve looked flat in each game to start the season, but I believe the Jaguars are much better than their record reflects. They haven’t been clicking on offense, but the talent is undoubtedly there. Defensively, they held the high-powered Miami Dolphins‘ offense to just 20 points in Week 1 and then the Cleveland Browns to 16 points in Week 2. The Bills just put a clinic on the Dolphins in Week 2 themselves, but the Jaguars will be playing desperate football tonight, and too many have already signed the Bills off as a 3-0 team. The Jags may not win, but I find it hard to believe they’ll get blown out.
Leg 2: Gabe Davis 3+ Receptions
I’m a sucker for a homecoming game, and after multiple seasons with the Bills, Gabe Davis returns to Buffalo as an opponent. He’s had three receptions in the first two games while leading the Jags in targets in Week 2 with seven. We’ll confidently expect Davis to make three grabs on his old home turf tonight.
Leg 3: Travis Etienne 2+ Receptions
Travis Etienne Jr. has made at least two receptions in the first two games this season after making at least two catches in 17 games in 2023. That’s good enough for us.
Leg 4: Brian Thomas Jr. 40+ Receiving Yards
Brian Thomas Jr. flew under the radar as a late first-round pick this spring, but the rookie has quietly shown flashes in the early part of this season, especially as a deep threat. He’s eclipsed the 40-yard threshold in both games this season thus far, and we believe he can eclipse this line tonight with just a single catch. We expect a ton of scoring tonight, so Trevor Lawrence will undoubtedly take some deep shots tonight.
Leg 5: Josh Allen 25+ Rushing Yards
Josh Allen only ran twice for a mere two yards in Week 2, but that was because the game was such a blowout, and James Cook couldn’t be stopped. When the game is close, Allen must put the team on his back, far more often than not with his legs. We expect tonight to play more like the Bills’ Week 1 win, where Allen ran nine times for 39 yards, so we like the value we’re getting in our parlay for him to rush for at least 25 yards.
Leg 6: Dalton Kincaid 3+ Receptions
After a disappointing Week 1, Dalton Kincaid saw a slight production uptick, making four catches. Allen threw the ball just 19 times last week, so knowing he’ll make way more passes tonight, we expect Kincaid to beat this line in the first half.
Leg 7: Khalil Shakir 25+ Receiving Yards
To close out our parlay, we’ll look to Khalil Shakir to get us at least 25 receiving yards tonight, as he’s averaged 48 yards per game thus far this season and leads the team in targets overall. Let’s ride!
All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
