Super Bowl LIX MVP Betting Trends: Barkley and Kelce Seeing Action

With Super Bowl LIX just around the corner, betting action is heating up for the highly anticipated showdown between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs on February 9. As wagers pour in, line movement, ticket percentages, and betting liabilities on the Super Bowl MVP provide key insights into how the public and sharps are positioning themselves ahead of the big game. From Patrick Mahomes’ odds shift to the surge in bets on Saquon Barkley, here’s a look at the latest BetMGM betting trends leading into the Super Bowl.

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Super Bowl LIX MVP Line Movement (Opening to Current)

• Patrick Mahomes +400, +105
• Saquon Barkley +2500, +240
• Jalen Hurts +1400, +375
• Travis Kelce +8000, +1500

One of the most notable shifts in betting markets has been Patrick Mahomes, whose odds have narrowed from +400 to +105, reflecting his dominance and strong backing from bettors. However, the biggest surprise is Saquon Barkley, who opened at +2500 but has since skyrocketed to +240, making him one of the most heavily bet players. Jalen Hurts has also seen significant movement from +1400 to +375 as Philadelphia’s dynamic quarterback continues to draw action. Meanwhile, Travis Kelce’s MVP odds have moved from +8000 to +1500, indicating strong backing on the Chiefs’ star tight end to have a major impact in the Super Bowl.

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Super Bowl LIX MVP Highest Ticket Percentage

• Saquon Barkley 17.7%
• Patrick Mahomes 8.6%
• Josh Allen 6.5%

The betting public has spoken, and Saquon Barkley leads all players with 17.7% of total tickets placed. This surge of action on Barkley suggests bettors anticipate a major performance from the Eagles’ star running back. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes remains a popular choice at 8.6%, given his track record of Super Bowl success. Surprisingly, Josh Allen, despite not playing in the game, holds 6.5% of bets, likely from early-season wagers that have yet to be cashed out.

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Super Bowl LIX MVP Highest Handle Percentage

• Travis Kelce 22.1%
• Saquon Barkley 17.3%
• Patrick Mahomes 12.6%

Looking at where the big money is landing, Travis Kelce leads the way with 22.1% of the total handle, meaning sportsbooks will be heavily exposed if the Chiefs’ tight end delivers a monster performance. Saquon Barkley, again, ranks near the top at 17.3%, signaling that sharp bettors are aligned with the public in believing he’ll be a difference-maker. Patrick Mahomes rounds out the top three with 12.6%, which is expected given his elite playoff pedigree and ability to take over big games.

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Super Bowl LIX MVP Biggest Liability

• Travis Kelce
• Saquon Barkley
• Aidan Hutchinson

As expected, Travis Kelce and Saquon Barkley are the biggest liabilities for BetMGM, meaning a win from either player would result in significant payouts for sportsbooks. Surprisingly, Aidan Hutchinson is on the list, likely due to his longshot +50000 opening odds on futures bets made earlier in the season.