Josh Allen Rushing Outlook Against Minnesota's Blitz

Segment Spotlight: Quick Hits From Game Time Decisions

Josh Allen’s Rushing Yards and Buffalo’s Team Total in Focus Against Minnesota

Josh Allen’s ability to punish the blitz could be critical against Minnesota. If the defense sends pressure but fails to reach him, Allen may find plenty of open space to take off, especially with two Buffalo offensive linemen out.

Some designed quarterback runs are also expected, but Allen generally scrambles because he has to rather than because he is always looking to run. In a close game with consistent pressure in his face, he may need to use his legs to move the chains.

Allen’s rushing total of 30.5 yards was viewed as manageable, with 30 or more yards available at -125. Plays at 30 and 40 yards were discussed, along with the possibility of taking 60. It may only take two failed blitzes and two 15-yard scrambles for Allen to reach 30 yards.

Minnesota’s defense has been strong against the pass because opposing teams struggle to identify its coverages and where the blitzes are coming from. However, the defense was not described as elite against the run by EPA. That could lead Buffalo to run frequently, including designed carries for Allen.

Caleb Williams previously rushed five times for 42 yards against Minnesota before getting hurt. The Vikings have also faced several quarterbacks who are not major rushing threats, making Allen a different challenge.

Buffalo’s offensive line has been one of the better units in football in recent years, although the team remains inconsistent in short-yardage situations. Some of those struggles were attributed more to play calling than the line itself.

The Bills’ team total over 23.5 was another preferred play. Buffalo recently scored into the 30s indoors in Las Vegas, and Allen has produced strong numbers indoors. Even against Minnesota’s defense, the expectation is that Buffalo can reach at least 24 points.