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BYU’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability

Live prediction market forecasts for BYU based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.

📊 BYU Cougars Market Brief

BYU is the market’s biggest "valuation jumper" of 2026, sitting with a reasonable chance to win the program’s first NCAA championship. The Cougars have exceeded all preseason expectations. Sentiment is purely bullish, driven by the emergence of AJ Dybantsa as a generational talent. The market currently treats BYU as a "Final Four Dark Horse," with odds shortening drastically as they roll through the Big 12.

$587.8K Volume
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BYU4%

Key Stats

4%

Current Probability

0%

30-Day Change

#11

Current Rank

What's Driving BYU's Odds

  • The AJ Dybantsa Effect: The #1 recruit in the country is already a 20+ PPG player and is considered the most "pro-ready" player in college basketball.

  • Home-Court Advantage: The Marriott Center remains one of the most challenging places to play in the country, providing BYU with a consistent "edge" in night-to-night betting lines.

  • Modern Shot Profile: Under Kevin Young, BYU runs a pro-style offense that emphasizes corner threes and high-pick-and-roll efficiency.

BYU vs Other Top Contenders

BYU Cougars FAQs

No. BYU’s best finish was an Elite Eight appearance in 1981, led by Danny Ainge.

BYU is known for ultra-fast pace and high-volume 3-point shooting. They often lead the nation in 3-point attempts and emphasize a highly unselfish, assist-heavy offense.

Danny Ainge, Jimmer Fredette, and Shawn Bradley.