Walter Clayton Jr.
Florida’s 2026 March Madness Win Probability
Live prediction market forecasts for Florida based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated daily.
📊 Florida Gators Market Brief
The Florida Gators market is defined by high-variance optimism. Looking to go back-to-back, the defending champs are priced as a "high-ceiling" sleeper of pulling off the repeat. While Florida boasts elite rebounding metrics, the market remains cautious due to inconsistent play against Tier-1 opponents. Sentiment is currently neutral to mildly bullish, as bettors wait to see if their perimeter shooting can match their interior dominance in the SEC gauntlet.
Florida5%Key Stats
5%
Current Probability
-1%
30-Day Change
#T-7
Current Rank
What's Driving Florida's Odds
Rebounding Dominance: Florida has been a beast on the boards, fueled by Alex Condon and Micah Handlogten.
Aggressive Pace: Under Todd Golden, the Gators play one of the fastest tempos in the SEC, creating high-possession games that favor their depth.
The "Rioux" Factor: The presence of 7'9" Olivier Rioux creates a unique defensive gravity that oddsmakers have to account for in specific matchups.
Florida vs Other Top Contenders
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Florida Gators FAQs
Yes. Florida won back-to-back national championships in 2006 and 2007 under Billy Donovan; they also won the national championship in 2025.
Florida is known for an ultra-fast, modern "Gage" system that emphasizes early-clock shots, heavy rim pressure, and elite offensive glass work.
Al Horford, Joakim Noah, Bradley Beal, and Chandler Parsons.
