🇫🇷 France – 2026 World Cup Odds & Market Movement
Live prediction market probability based on Kalshi and Polymarket pricing.
📊 France Market Brief
France continues to trade as a high-ceiling contender with deep market support, yet current pricing suggests that much of that upside is already reflected. Rather than chasing momentum, bettors appear comfortable holding France at established levels until clearer signals emerge.
A big piece of context is around Kylian Mbappé's current left knee sprain, which kept him out of recent key club matches and remains closely monitored for fitness heading into tournament preparations. While positive recovery reports suggest he could feature soon, ambiguity around his availability has tempered conviction in France's implied probability.
Key Stats
12%
Current Probability
-1%
30-Day Change
#3
Current Rank
What's Driving France's Odds
France enters 2026 with elite attacking options and strong depth, led by Kylian Mbappé, keeping them consistently among the top-priced teams.
Recent tournament pedigree and production of world-class players sustain France's competitive profile.
Internal rotation choices and balancing youth with experience will be key tactical decisions for progression.
France vs Other Top Contenders
Related World Cup Markets
France World Cup FAQs
France has won two World Cups (1998, 2018).
Elite youth development, athleticism, and squad depth.
Zinedine Zidane, Thierry Henry, Kylian Mbappé.