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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain โ€“ 2026 World Cup Odds & Market Movement

Live prediction market probability based on Kalshi and Polymarket pricing.

๐Ÿ“Š Spain Market Brief

The betting market currently signals stability without momentum for Spain's World Cup win chances, indicating neutral to mildly cautious sentiment rather than a strong conviction play. Current odds imply a stable, conviction-led market, with Spain priced as a consistent but measured threat with limited short-term momentum. This stability reflects a market awaiting catalysts before committing to directional moves on Spain's tournament prospects.

In terms of squad fitness, young standout Lamine Yamal underwent a groin procedure late in 2025 and was withdrawn from squad duty, which has influenced discussions around Spain's depth on the wings. While not currently listed on wide injury trackers, sub-news around his status is something bettors may be watching.

$2.8M Volume
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Spain17%

Key Stats

17%

Current Probability

0%

30-Day Change

#1

Current Rank

What's Driving Spain's Odds

  • Strong squad depth with young talent emerging across key positions, highlighted by the rapid rise of Lamine Yamal, providing flexibility for tournament rotation.

  • Recent international performances have been consistent, with Spain showing tactical maturity under current management.

  • Uncertainty affecting competing teams (France, Argentina) has redirected market confidence toward Spain.

Spain World Cup FAQs

Yes. Spain won the World Cup once in 2010.

Spain is known for possession-based, short-passing football (tiki-taka).

Xavi, Andrรฉs Iniesta, Iker Casillas, Sergio Ramos.