Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Nationals @ Marlins – First Pitch: 6:40 p.m.
In today’s MLB matchup, we have the Washington Nationals facing off against the Miami Marlins. The Nats are set to start with MacKenzie Gore on the mound while the Fish counter with Edward Cabrera. Miami is a slight favorite at home, with a -116 moneyline on the FanDuel Sportsbook and a total of 7.5.
Young pitcher Gore has proven to be a promising asset this season, boasting a record of 3-2 and averaging an impressive 11 strikeouts per nine innings. On the other hand, Cabrera can sometimes be erratic, and the Marlins often struggle to score runs.
Yesterday’s game saw the Marlins stealing a win from the Nationals, thanks to a late-game play by Jorge Soler. But will the Marlins repeat this performance today? Unlikely. Gore’s numbers indicate a solid performance, particularly early on in the season.
However, it’s worth noting that Miami’s lineup has been hit with the loss of Jazz Chisholm, one of their main bats, due to injury. This gives Washington an edge. Despite their lineup leaving a lot to be desired, the Nationals have demonstrated an ability to put the ball in play and score runs.
Analyzing Gore’s performance, it’s evident that he dominates against right-handed batters. Over the past 30 days, he faced 89 right-handed batters, holding them to a weighted on-base percentage of .261 and an ISO of .120. Interestingly, Gore has a weaker record against left-handed batters.
The Marlins’ anticipated lineup is predominantly right-handed, with Luis Arraez being the only lefty. Arraez, who is set to bat in the three-hole, hasn’t been performing particularly well against left-handed pitching this season. As such, if the Nationals focus their efforts on pitching around Arraez tight, Gore could have clear sailing.
It seems likely that the Nationals could be in line for a victory today, and the first five is worth looking at as well.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | -1.5 | -188 | O 7.5 | -114 | +115 | Open |
| -204 | 7.5 | -105 | -102 | Current | ||
| Marlins | +1.5 | +157 | U 7.5 | -105 | -135 | Open |
| +171 | 7.5 | -115 | -116 | Current | ||
Projected Lineups:
Nationals
Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore: 3-2, 3.29 ERA, 11.20 K/9
| 1. | RF | Lane Thomas | .282, 5 HR, 19 RBI |
| 2. | 2B | Luis García | .268, 3 HR, 17 RBI |
| 3. | C | Keibert Ruiz | .235, 3 HR, 13 RBI |
| 4. | DH | Joey Meneses | .295, 2 HR, 22 RBI |
| 5. | 3B | Jeimer Candelario | .234, 4 HR, 15 RBI |
| 6. | 1B | Dominic Smith | .278, 1 HR, 12 RBI |
| 7. | CF | Alex Call | .230, 3 HR, 16 RBI |
| 8. | SS | CJ Abrams | .250, 4 HR, 22 RBI |
| 9. | LF | Corey Dickerson | .000, 0 HR, 0 RBI |
Marlins
Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera: 2-3, 5.35 ERA, 12.48 K/9
| 1. | SS | Jon Berti | .271, 2 HR, 8 RBI |
| 2. | 1B | Garrett Cooper | .280, 3 HR, 14 RBI |
| 3. | 2B | Luis Arraez | .386, 1 HR, 15 RBI |
| 4. | DH | Jorge Soler | .238, 10 HR, 22 RBI |
| 5. | LF | Bryan De La Cruz | .287, 3 HR, 13 RBI |
| 6. | CF | Peyton Burdick | .208, 1 HR, 2 RBI |
| 7. | 3B | Jean Segura | .200, 0 HR, 4 RBI |
| 8. | C | Nick Fortes | .195, 1 HR, 5 RBI |
| 9. | RF | Garrett Hampson | .257, 1 HR, 7 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Nationals
- The Washington Nationals are 1-4 (.200) on the road as a favorite in their last five games since the start of 2021
- The over hit in 3 of the Washington Nationals last 5 games on the road in 2023
Marlins
- The over hit in 4 of the Miami Marlins last 5 games at home in 2023
- The Miami Marlins are 3-2 (.600) at home as an underdog in their last five games in 2023
