Super Bowl LX Predictions: Record Viewership and Betting
Craig Mish
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Predictions and Impacts for This Year's Super Bowl
This year’s Super Bowl could be historic in multiple ways - potentially becoming the most-watched and most-bet Super Bowl of all time. Expectations are high that despite the participating teams, viewership could reach all-time heights. However, if the Seattle team leads significantly (for example, 40 to 3 in the second half), these records might not be achieved.
From a financial perspective, the event is crucial for the NFL, sports betting operators, and all associated revenue streams, with a tightly contested match being most beneficial as it ensures viewers stay engaged throughout. This year, Americans are projected to bet a staggering $1.7 billion on the Super Bowl, with legal sports betting operators anticipated to earn about $100 million from these bets, assuming a 6% hold rate.
The performance of individual players is increasingly becoming a key factor in betting outcomes. Last year, unexpected player performances led to significant profits for bookmakers, despite predictions of large losses. For this year, the focus is especially on player props and parlay legs, with the most bet prop usually being on players scoring touchdowns. The bookmakers' success might heavily depend on whether popular players like JSN, Ramondre Stevenson, or Kenneth Walker manage to score. The strategy seems to be on forecasting individual performances rather than the overall game.
Interestingly, while a lot of bets are placed on touchdown props, confidence in a high scoring game remains low. This reflects a broader trend where bettors prefer to predict individual achievements rather than overall game outcomes. Additionally, the betting patterns on the game's total score are currently evenly split, which further highlights the unpredictable nature of this year's Super Bowl.
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