2024 MLB Home Run Derby Bracket Prediction and Odds

Sportsgrid Staff
Host · Writer
Home Run Derby Bracket Prediction: 2024
The Home Run Derby is always one of the most exciting events in MLB, and this year’s lineup promises to deliver plenty of fireworks. Although there isn’t a traditional bracket format, the top four competitors from the first round will advance to the semifinals. Here are the eight competitors and how they’ve done in the first half of the season.
| Participant | Team | HRs |
| Gunnar Henderson | Orioles | 27 |
| Marcell Ozuna | Braves | 24 |
| Jose Ramirez | Guardians | 23 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Dodgers | 19 |
| Pete Alonso | Mets | 18 |
| Adolis Garcia | Rangers | 17 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Royals | 15 |
| Alec Bohm | Phillies | 11 |
First Round Predictions
Based on their home run totals and the given betting odds, here’s how I predict the first round will go:
-
Pete Alonso (Yes: -250, No: +198)
- Prediction: Pete Alonso will hit the most home runs in the first round, showing why he’s favored to win with his impressive past performances in the Derby.
-
Gunnar Henderson (Yes: -172, No: +140)
- Prediction: Gunnar Henderson will come in second, leveraging his powerful swing and high season total.
-
Marcell Ozuna (Yes: -194, No: +156)
- Prediction: Marcell Ozuna’s consistency will secure him the third spot, justifying his strong odds to advance.
-
Teoscar Hernandez (Yes: +142, No: -176)
- Prediction: Teoscar Hernandez will edge out the competition for the fourth spot, with his betting odds reflecting a competitive but uncertain outcome.
Semifinal Matchups
With Alonso, Henderson, Ozuna, and Hernandez advancing, the semifinals will pair the top seed against the fourth and the second seed against the third.
-
Pete Alonso vs. Teoscar Hernandez
- Prediction: Alonso will outperform Hernandez, continuing his dominant performance and securing a spot in the finals.
-
Gunnar Henderson vs. Marcell Ozuna
- Prediction: Ozuna will narrowly defeat Henderson, using his experience and power to advance to the final round.
HR Derby Winner Odds at FanDuel
| Participant | Team | Odds |
| Pete Alonso | Mets | +300 |
| Marcell Ozuna | Braves | +380 |
| Gunnar Henderson | Orioles | +400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Royals | +470 |
| Adolis Garcia | Rangers | +550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Dodgers | +1100 |
| Jose Ramirez | Guardians | +1500 |
| Alec Bohm | Phillies | +2000 |
Final Showdown
Pete Alonso vs. Marcell Ozuna
- Prediction: Alonso will take the title, showcasing his exceptional power and Derby prowess to best Ozuna in the final matchup.
Pete Alonso is poised to claim the 2024 Home Run Derby Championship, the third title of his career. Gunnar Henderson, Marcell Ozuna, and Teoscar Hernandez will also make strong showings and get out of the opening round. Alonso’s track record and current form make him the favorite to emerge victorious after an exciting series of matchups.
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