Name: NBA Betting Insights: Props and Predictions for Tonight
Uploaded: 2025-11-19T16:23:55-05:00
Duration: 7 min 6 s
Description: Brad Thomas joins the show to discuss NBA picks and best player props for tonight's slate, highlighting the Rockets vs. Cavaliers and the Raptors vs. 76ers.

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Brad Thomas joins the show to discuss NBA picks and best player props for tonight's slate, highlighting the Rockets vs. Cavaliers and the Raptors vs. 76ers.

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NBA Betting Insights: Props and Predictions for Tonight

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All we got Brad Thomas back with us. Brad loves these props in the NBA. Sometimes he likes sides, totals, but he loves these props, so I'm sure we're gonna have some for you here. Let's, uh, bring Brad back on the show here on Newswire. We've got Houston, Cleveland tonight. This is probably, uh, one of the tightest lines you're gonna see in the NBA between two really good teams. Uh, Houston is 1.5 point favorite. It's probably on the strength that Cleveland just hasn't played their best basketball in November. Total 233.5. It seems like they're coming on though, a little bit, I would say, Brad, based on results here. Uh, any opinion on this, or do you wanna just dive right into these player props here? I'm seeing, uh, Durant, Sangin, Mitchell, and Mobley up here, so I'll give you the floor. Yeah, I think I slightly lean to the Rockets here, but I don't have a super strong reason outside of just availability to take the uh the Rockets over the Cavs and maybe the Cavs being 2 and 6 against the spread at home. Um, but yeah, I actually have two player props in this game if you want to go over to the player props, cause I feel like this is one of those games where you can get sneaky with an under here. All right, so let's take a look at those props here, uh, Kevin Durant, Mitchell Mobley, what's your favorite of these? Yeah, my favorite's Donovan Mitchell, and it's gonna be the chalky under 28.5. It's a, it's a sell high spot, scored 3030 plus in three straight. Um, also, I think that the Houston Rockets are such a well coached defensive team. They're going to do anything in their power to get the ball out of his hands, right? No, Darius Garland, um, also in on that team, so, excuse me, he's out for injuries, so that kind of You're not as afraid as Sam Merrill is gonna be out, then you're like, we're definitely not afraid of him kicking it out and we send a double or we trap. So I think 28.5 against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA is a really solid under. I also like uh an over for Kevin Durant, over 3.5 assists. Now this more so is a definite yes, they're going to trap. And Blitz, Kevin Durant, even double, um, and him having average from 4 assists per game. I don't really care so much about that, but I do care about the potential assists per game, which is closer to that 8 to 9 variety and the game flow. I think that 3.5 around -115, I think I got a -105 this morning, but it's around -115 is a really good number there. Raptors have won 4 straight games. They seem to be scoring at will. One of the top offensive teams in the East. They'll take on the Philadelphia 76ers and Tyrese Maxey today, total of 2 34.5 and the breakdown here, it looks like to me, Brad, the last time the Raptors lost was at home to the Philadelphia 76ers. So if that is the case, does that give the Sixers the edge tonight having won the first one? How does that work this evening? Yeah, maybe, right, like the 76ers should have some confidence, but I actually like the Raptors. I think they're playing a little bit of better basketball. Two of these teams are really evenly matched. Um, I think the Raptors hold the edge defensively, right? There's the 76ers team that doesn't really play any defense at all, uh, but they're also really banged up, right? PG 13s out again, uh. is going to be out this game. Jolen Beat is doubtful. And one thing that I don't think gets talked about enough, you can't keep playing Tyrese Maxey 40+ minutes, 38 minutes per game. He played 40+ minutes in back to back games. I think, I don't think that's sustainable. I have a slight lean to the Raptors, um, but not really strong on the side or total there. I'm a little surprised at this line here. It tells me Jimmy Butler's not playing tonight here, Brad, if I had to guess, the Heat's 6.5 point favorites. How is that possible against the Golden State Warriors, total of 234.5. Is it possible that the Heat is better than Golden State? Yes. Have you seen the Heat play this season? Every single game is going right down to the last shot, whether they win or they lose, uh, including the game against the Knicks the other day. So the game, the game will tip off at 7:30 Eastern, but they're not making lines of heat. 6.5 unless Butler's out here, right? Like that's it. Is there anything to say? Butler, maybe Curry, this is one of those games where I'll tell any sports better, um, trying to get into prop betting. Be careful of taking player props in this game, because this is your classic blowout spot where the Miami Heat can just absolutely obliterate the Golden State Warriors, hence the 6.5 point spread. If we're being fully transparent, I took, um, Miami Heat minus 13.5 at plus 350, and I took my. 20 and 21.5, I think 22 point win would be the blowout range for me at plus 650. And why is that, right? The Golden State Warriors aren't that bad of a team, but they've played, this would be their sixth road game in 9 days. They're on the last game of an East Coast road trip on the last night off a back to back. It's a mouthful, and it's a lot of like some of that stuff working in my brain, but it just makes a ton of sense against a team that's gonna play some really fast basketball. I think Jimmy Butler does. Play, but Steve Kerr has been notorious for doing this. When they play on these back to backs on a road trip, if their team starts out slow, he is really quick to pull the plug because you can't just say, I'm gonna sit Jimmy Butler, I'm gonna sit Draymond, I'm gonna sit Stefan Stephen Curry, and, and get away with it, right? Without a real injury or or load management or whatever the new phrase is kind of uh rationale behind it. Why not just go ahead and pull the plug. You go down 1015 going into the third. quarter or halfway through the 3rd quarter, why not pull the plug? Why not take your guys out? You're not gonna have them play more than 2025 minutes, and you're not going to get penalized for it. At the in the grand scheme of things, this team just wants to make the playoffs. Winning a game on the road on the second half of the back to back on the last night of your East Coast road trip is not all that important. So I think this could be a really weird funky game where players don't play a lot and fans get really upset who are betting player props, especially betting overs. Yeah, and for those people who bought tickets to see Steph Curry in Miami, they're not gonna be happy either if that's the case. Uh, Knicks coming off that loss in Miami, 6.5 point favorites tonight at Dallas. Uh, New York has not won yet on the road this season. They're 0 and 5. We know the Mavericks just have everybody sitting. Uh, I, I did see Jalen Brunson warming up with the Knicks in the last game. I think he's still gonna miss time. I'm not sure if that includes tonight. Carl Anthony Towns will play minus 6.5. Knicks at Mavericks tonight. Who do you like? Yeah, I, I like the New York Knicks. It is a little bit of a scary line. I thought I would have made it closer to 6, 6.5, um, there are 4, 4.5. I'm like, what am I missing? I know Jalen Bruns is probably not gonna be out. OG and Obi is gonna be out in this game as well, but the, the New York Knicks desperate for that. That first away win, that road win against the Mavericks team that I just don't think is that good. When Cooper flag, no disrespect to the young rook, is your leading score 15 points per game, you're gonna have a lot of issues. You're gonna have to lean heavily on on their defense. They're 29th in offensive rating, which is not really, not anything to write home about. So I think the Knicks are just gonna have too much off firepower against them and win and cover this game. All right, Brad, great stuff as always. Thanks for coming on the show. We'll catch up again next week. Absolutely, thanks for having me.

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