Spread: Chargers -3 (-102) | Moneyline: Chargers -162 | Texans +135 | Total: 41.5
Given how the Texans have looked in recent weeks, if there were any chance for them to run away with this game, it would solely be on the back of Nico Collins. I don’t think it can be from Joe Mixon, given the Texans’ recent struggles running the ball and the Chargers’ physicality, but Collins is a pure matchup nightmare for every defense. It wouldn’t surprise me if CJ Stroud targets him 15 times on Saturday, and given his prevalence both in the red zone and as a deep threat, getting him at +135 to score is something I need to back.