NFL · 8 months ago

Chiefs Top 10 Player Props | Super Bowl LIX Picks Today, Best Bets

Zack Cook

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Kareem Hunt UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

The Philadelphia Eagles have done a nice job against the run this season. Kareem Hunt has taken over the Kansas City Chiefs backfield in the postseason, tallying 25 rushing attempts over the last two games. I think the Eagles will be able to work the clock in this matchup with their strong run game, creating some question marks about how many attempts the Chiefs backfield will ultimately see in the rushing game. I envision a smaller workload for Hunt in the Super Bowl, and I think he'll struggle to find success on the ground.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 22.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Although he hasn't looked like the same running back we've been accustomed to; the Chiefs need Isiah Pacheco to find his second gear in the Super Bowl. As much as Hunt has provided some nice security and physicality in the running game, Pacheco has that extra burst that the Chiefs offense has lacked since he was injured earlier this season. Of course, it's different circumstances now, but Pacheco averaged 5.1 yards per carry against the Eagles in their first Super Bowl matchup. If he can rush for a similar clip with the limited attempts he's getting, the over looks like a value.

Spread: Chiefs -1.5 | Moneyline: Chiefs -120 | Eagles +102 | Total: 48.5
Patrick Mahomes OVER 31.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
How the Chiefs Will Three-Peat: 10 Keys to a Super Bowl Victory

With how this Philadelphia Eagles defense is structured, it's not hard to envision another strong day on the ground for Patrick Mahomes. Unlike other quarterbacks, drawn-up run plays for Mahomes are rare, but his football IQ allows him to take off when he feels the pressure, and he's damn good at extending plays. With the amount of pressure the Eagles can provide with their defensive line, it won't be a surprise if Mahomes is left scrambling at a high clip on Sunday evening. Mahomes is coming off a 43-yard rushing performance against Buffalo and rushed for 44 yards the last time these two teams collided in the Super Bowl.
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 250.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Super Bowl LIX: Chiefs vs Eagles Position-by-Position Offensive Breakdown

You can already see the Philadelphia Eagles defense getting their flowers ahead of Super Bowl LIX. It's deserved, but they have a significant test on the horizon against Patrick Mahomes and company. The Eagles' defense is shaped differently than two years ago, but the same emphasis still applies. Mahomes finished with 182 passing yards in the first matchup. It's hard to envision the Eagles letting Mahomes beat them with his arm through the air. Mahomes has also gone under the number in both Kansas City playoff games this season.
Xavier Worthy OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
NFL Players With the Most to Prove in Super Bowl LIX

I've been impressed with the progression we've seen from Xavier Worthy in the back half of the season for the Chiefs. Worthy has a dynamic element to his game that they've been lacking, and it's shown up in spades of late. Worthy has recorded at least 65 receiving yards in three of his last four games. The Chiefs must utilize his speed to find holes in this strong Philadelphia defense. Consider some ladder plays with this number as well.
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Xavier Worthy OVER 5.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
How the Chiefs Will Three-Peat: 10 Keys to a Super Bowl Victory

Xavier Worthy and the Chiefs have earned a reputation for getting creative with their skill players on offense on the game's biggest stage. It’s clear they plan to leverage Worthy’s blistering speed, targeting the former Texas Longhorn to break the game open. Worthy has been active in that department lately, with rushing performances of six or more yards in five of his last six outings. Worthy is getting opportunities to rush the ball from game to game, and it only makes sense that that will continue in Super Bowl LIX.
Travis Kelce OVER 60.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
5 Things I Learned About the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game

It's hard not to be tempted to back Travis Kelce having another big game in a Super Bowl. As a result, we will fall hook, line, and sinker for the temptation. Kelce is coming off a game where he wasn't involved against the Bills, but it's hard to envision the Chiefs finding success over the middle of the field in the Super Bowl if Kelce doesn't find his openings. Kelce was dominant against Houston in the Divisional Round, tallying 117 receiving yards on eight targets. When these teams met in the Super Bowl two years ago, Kelce hauled in six catches for 81 yards and a touchdown. Even if he doesn't hit those heights again, backing the over is something we can get behind.
Marquise Brown UNDER 42.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
I haven't loved how Marquise Brown has fit into the Chiefs offense since being activated late in the year due to injuries. We've seen Brown play four games, tallying 12 catches and a total of 126 yards. I don't see a matchup that Brown can exploit in the Eagles' secondary, and I think the bulk of the targets will go toward Worthy and Kelce. Brown has some value in the red zone to potentially score a touchdown, but I believe his receiving prop is set marginally too high, meaning we're happy to look toward the under.

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Patrick Mahomes Anytime Touchdown (+400)
Super Bowl LIX: Chiefs vs Eagles Position-by-Position Defensive Breakdown

I'm incredibly bullish on the impact that Patrick Mahomes can have with his legs in Super Bowl LIX. With the Chiefs' inconsistent run game, especially in the red zone, Mahomes hasn't been shy to scramble for a score, much like he did against the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Mahomes was active on the ground against the Eagles two years ago in the Super Bowl, and we are already targeting him to have a big day with his rushing prop. There's too much value with Mahomes's number to find the endzone to ignore.
Noah Gray Anytime Touchdown (+500)
We've been waiting for Noah Gray's signature postseason moment for the Chiefs. Gray has only had three targets during the Chiefs two postseason games, but that shouldn't prevent bettors from going to the window for his services on Sunday evening. Gray has a knack for finding holes in opposing defenses in the red zone, and he's a trusted target for Mahomes when they get to that area of the field. I don't think you should read anything into his lack of involvement in the offense to this point. Gray has real value in finding pay dirt on Sunday.

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Kareem Hunt UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds & Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today & Injury Updates

The Philadelphia Eagles have done a nice job against the run this season. Kareem Hunt has taken over the Kansas City Chiefs backfield in the postseason, tallying 25 rushing attempts over the last two games. I think the Eagles will be able to work the clock in this matchup with their strong run game, creating some question marks about how many attempts the Chiefs backfield will ultimately see in the rushing game. I envision a smaller workload for Hunt in the Super Bowl, and I think he'll struggle to find success on the ground.

Chiefs Top 10 Player Props | Super Bowl LIX Picks Today, Best Bets

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