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NFL · 1 year ago

Patrick Mahomes Emerges as a Sharp Pick to Score a Touchdown

Sportsgrid Staff

Host · Writer

Patrick Mahomes is listed at +400 to score a touchdown, and history suggests that’s an enticing bet. With nearly 180 rushing yards in four Super Bowls, Mahomes has shown he’s willing to take matters into his own hands, particularly in the red zone. His ability to extend plays, coupled with the Kansas City Chiefs’ inconsistent run game, makes his rushing touchdown prop a strong option.

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl LIX Predictions | NFL Playoff Picks Today, Best Bets

Betting Picks on Patrick Mahomes

  • Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+400) – Mahomes has a history of making plays in key moments.

  • Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (-110) – Expect him to throw often in a high-pressure game.

  • Over 3.5 Sacks Taken (-120) – With Jalen Carter leading the Eagles’ pass rush, Mahomes will be under constant pressure.

  • Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-115) – Scrambling will be a necessity with limited protection.

  • Over 0.5 Interceptions (-105) – With an aggressive game plan, mistakes could happen.

10 Anytime Touchdown Bets You Need to Place for Super Bowl LIX

Chiefs Wide Receivers: Who Steps Up?

Kansas City’s receiving corps remains a question mark, with Xavier Worthy (+150), Hollywood Brown (+260), and DeAndre Hopkins all in play to score. Mahomes will need someone to step up, but given the lack of separation from the wide receivers, he might rely on his legs more than usual.

Best Receiving Props to Consider

  • Xavier Worthy Anytime TD (+150) – His speed makes him a dangerous deep threat.

  • Hollywood Brown Anytime TD (+260) – A solid value play with Mahomes’ ability to extend plays.

  • Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-130) – Mahomes’ most trusted weapon in critical situations.

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Chiefs’ Offensive Strategy: Mahomes Must Be the Hero

With the Chiefs struggling to establish a consistent ground game, Mahomes is expected to shoulder the offensive load. The Eagles’ elite defensive line, featuring Jalen Carter, will likely force Mahomes into quick decisions and improvised plays.

Kansas City’s offensive line will need to hold up against constant blitzing, but given the lack of a true No. 1 wide receiver, Mahomes will likely scramble more often than usual.

Eagles Top 5 Anytime Touchdown Picks Super Bowl LIX

Final Betting Insights for Chiefs vs. Eagles

The Chiefs’ path to victory runs directly through Mahomes. If he can extend plays and make key throws under pressure, Kansas City has a real chance. However, given the matchup and his past performances, his rushing and passing props present the best betting value.

Best Bets for the Game:

  • Mahomes Anytime Touchdown (+400)

  • Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (-110)

  • Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

  • Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions (-130)

  • Eagles Over 3.5 Sacks (-120)

With Mahomes leading the charge, the Chiefs remain a dangerous team. If you’re looking for high-value bets, focusing on Mahomes’ passing and rushing props is the smart play. Expect a thrilling Super Bowl matchup!

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