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NFL · 1 year ago

Steelers vs Browns TNF Week 12 Picks | NFL Same Game Parlay

Ben DiGiacomo

Host · Writer

We have a Thursday Night Football battle set for tonight in the AFC North featuring the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns, so we worked up an ultimate same-game parlay for the action. 

Valued at +1200, let’s ride!

Leg 1: Najee Harris 50+ Rushing Yards

Tonight’s primetime game will not have great weather, setting up for a match where the Steelers look to run the ball plenty. Najee Harris has averaged nearly 20 carries a game across the past four weeks. Even if he sees between 16 to 18 carries on the low end, it should be more than enough volume to reach the 50-yard threshold, which he’s beaten in eight of ten games this season.

Legs 2 & 3: Jaylen Warren 25+ Rushing Yards, 2+ Receptions

Jaylen Warren will likely see several carries alongside Harris, so we’ll look to double up with the Steelers’ running backs in our parlay. He’s averaged eleven carries per game across his last four, averaging 49 yards per game during that stretch. We’re looking for him to pick up 25 yards for us on the ground, which he should be able to do even if he doesn’t reach the 11-carry mark. We’ll also target him to record two receptions, which he’s done in seven of eight games this season. 

Leg 4: George Pickens 50+ Receiving Yards

We’re touting George Pickens to record 50 receiving yards, even considering the bad weather expected, but he’s managed to record a 30-yard reception in the last five games. If he does that again tonight, it will leave a ton of wiggle room where he only needs one or two more catches to surpass the 50-yard mark. He’s coming off an eight-catch, 12-target game last week, so there is more than enough volume expected to go his way tonight to give us what we need.

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Leg 5: Jerry Jeudy 4+ Receptions

Across the past three weeks with Jameis Winston under center, Jerry Jeudy has averaged ten targets per game. We know Winston will want to sling it even with the expected weather. If his recent volume sustains, he should record four receptions by the third quarter.

Leg 6: David Njoku 4+ Receptions

David Njoku has recorded at least four receptions in six of seven games this season, which is good enough for us to close our parlay! Let’s ride!

All Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.