Name: AFC South Update: Colts Struggles as Season Progresses
Uploaded: 2025-12-01T16:32:12-05:00
Duration: 5 min 26 s
Description: The Indianapolis Colts face sudden playoff doubts and tough upcoming games, with the Jaguars now taking the lead in the AFC South at risk after recent losses.

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The Indianapolis Colts face sudden playoff doubts and tough upcoming games, with the Jaguars now taking the lead in the AFC South at risk after recent losses.

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AFC South Update: Colts Struggles as Season Progresses

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We're gonna start though with the AFC South. And Not always can you see a number and immediately be able to take advantage of it, but you can identify a bad number. The Indianapolis Colts following their loss to Kansas City, remaining AFC favorites was the worst piece of booking I think we've seen this year. Although it was slight, you could tell the Colts situation after that loss, after the stacking. Of wins for both Houston and Jacksonville, they were in more of a precarious position than those numbers had suggested. Well, now, the market has moved once again. As the Colts lose at home to the Houston Texans with CJ Stroud back under center for Houston, the Colts are not in the top 3 for the AFC outright market and their division price. Is now a plus money number after being booked runaway style, Tom, understandably so. The Colts not only feel in danger of losing this division, they feel in danger of missing the playoffs to me. And things will not get easier from here. I know we just showed the graphic for their remaining schedule. It is, I'm, I don't wanna say it's getting late early, but the remaining schedule for them does not look good. And, you know, there's a point to be made, as you said, they stacked up all these wins. Could they eat their way into the playoffs? Absolutely. Could they split the season series. With the Jags who they've yet to play. Sure. Can they take one of those two games versus Seattle and San Francisco? Sure, but I'm not gonna have any amount of confidence in them heading into the playoffs. And with the Daniel Jones was a calf injury. All of a sudden, hang on, it's a fractured fibula. That's not going to be healed by Sunday. It's had to be healed by Thurs. This is going to be Ongoing thing. And frankly, it's only going to get worse as he continues to play on it. So, the, uh, conversation about them potentially missing the playoffs, no one was gonna be saying that in, in week 78. Hang on, they're off to a 6 and 1 start. Now, we're looking at a completely different story for the Colts and the back few games this season are a gauntlet for them. And, and I wanna say with Indianapolis, I don't look at them. You will likely hear the word fraud tossed around, maybe on this show throughout coverage, right? I don't necessarily think Indianapolis is a fraud. I don't think they were ever as good as people were describing them, right? They were great bullies, they were able to beat up on bad bad football teams. What I do think for Indianapolis though is it's all kind of collapsing on them due to the schedule that Thomas talked about. I actually liked the spot for Indy yesterday. Their team total over was my best bet. First time in a while I was wrong on a team total best bet. It happens. It was a bad call. I'm not gonna blame it on anything other other than that and give the Texans defense a world of credit. But if, and I know the Texans defense is special. It's an undeniable top 3 unit in football, but the Colts. Have to play Jacksonville 2 more times. The Texans again, the Seahawks and the Niners. This is the hardest remaining schedule in the NFL by far. I mean, it, it is not even close. I'm sure people have seen the tankathon strength of schedule graphics that get tweeted out and it'll have the column toughest opponents, and then the column easiest opponents. The Colts easiest opponents column is empty. They're the only team in football with such a situation. So the question becomes, Tom. Not, so why, again, it's not that I see Indianapolis as frauds, but Jacksonville and Houston feel pesky. So to start on the Houston piece of it, I actually think they are the best team in this division. I think they're the most likely to go on a deep playoff run. They have pedigree with a quarterback who has won multiple playoff games, and when you can play defense at this level, you're a really scary out. Now Houston may not get in, but if they're in, they're absolutely live for a run. They absolutely are. And, you know, maybe what we take from the beginning portion of the season of the Colts, as you said, they were beating up on a lot of bad teams, but that was their peak, right? Now they are, I'm not, again, I don't want to use the fraud, they are regressing to really where they should have been, which is an up and down, you know, just over 500 kind of team, which I think we'll see play out really from the second half of the season on. The, the first few weeks, Daniel Jones and the offenses. You looked at some of their numbers, they were scoring on a, on a points per drive at a historic rate. It wasn't the best this season, wasn't the best of the last 5 years. It was one of the best this century across the NFL. So that was bound to regress. So when we coupled that with injuries and all these sorts of things, plus the remaining schedule, which is, again, super, super tough, all of those things collide at the same point and it leaves them in a spot where I think they're gonna be hung out to dry. I think they're gonna be Grasping at anyone they can possibly get. I don't think they'll be making the playoffs. We have to talk about the other emerging AFC, uh, AFC teams that can be pushing into the playoffs. And frankly, I would rather be looking at those teams for to make the playoff odds rather than the Colts right now. And as you described, the fact that they are plus money for, uh, uh, you know, to win the division, I think that's just the wrong price on them. We could be looking at a toss-up for any of these teams.

AFC South Update: Colts Struggles as Season Progresses

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