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🇧🇷 Brazil – 2026 World Cup Odds & Market Movement

Live prediction market probability based on Kalshi and Polymarket pricing.

📊 Brazil Market Brief

Brazil remains a perennial contender in the market, priced as a capable and respected side without a strong directional push in the short term. The implied probability reflects steadiness rather than heightened optimism.

A notable storyline involves Neymar's ongoing bid for fitness and inclusion, with the 33-year-old extending his contract and aiming to prove he's ready for a national call-up despite a longer road back from knee issues and surgery. His availability - or lack thereof - continues to be a factor shaping sentiment around Brazil's attacking depth.

$2.8M Volume
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Brazil10%

Key Stats

10%

Current Probability

0%

30-Day Change

#T-4

Current Rank

What's Driving Brazil's Odds

  • World Cup odds remain strong with Brazil among the top contenders thanks to world-class attacking talent and deep squad experience, even as Vinícius Júnior takes on a larger leadership role.

  • Historical pedigree (five titles) and a balanced mix of emerging stars and veterans provide tournament credibility.

  • Fitness concerns for key players (e.g., Neymar's late comeback push) inject uncertainty into final selection dynamics.

Brazil World Cup FAQs

Brazil has won five World Cups (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002).

Creative, attacking, skill-based play.

Pelé, Ronaldo, Ronaldinho, Neymar.